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2026 · Selected benchmark fixtures

Major League Soccer

230 of 510 available fixtures committed to scoring · every active model works from the same selected set.

Coverage
230 / 510
Awaiting kickoff
44
Finished
186
Matches & predictions
Every selected fixture, locked model picks and final grades
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Upcoming selected fixtures

All fixtures →

Recent results

All results →

Field averages

Per-model main board →
Avg 90-min accuracy
42%
Avg exact score
13%
Avg betting ROI
−14.4%
Avg RPS
0.227

Averaged across 19 models over 186 scored fixtures.

Model leaderboard

How each model did on this competition's selected fixtures. Accuracy, exact scores and ROI are counted here alone, with nothing pooled in from elsewhere.

#ModelAccuracyExactROIRPSN
1
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flag
50%25%−3.2%0.2794
2
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flag
47%18%+19.5%0.23234
3
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flag
47%21%−5.6%0.24234
4
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag
44%15%−11.2%0.23934
5
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag
43%11%−16.5%0.214183
6
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flag
43%11%−11.1%0.215184
7
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
43%9%−14.4%0.221184
8
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flag
42%12%−19.4%0.217180
9
Grok 4.5 xAI flag
42%10%−15.3%0.218183
10
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
42%10%−10.9%0.218184
11
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag
42%10%−13.9%0.219184
12
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%10%−14.2%0.222184
13
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flag
41%10%−18%0.218184
14
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flag
41%15%−19.6%0.24734
15
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flag
40%11%−19.3%0.217134
16
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag
40%9%−18.7%0.218182
17
Kimi K3 Moonshot flag
40%10%−21.7%0.220184
18
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag
39%11%−23.2%0.222184
19
Gemma 4 31B Google flag
34%15%−36.7%0.23547
1Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flag4 games · exact 25% · ROI −3.2%50%Accuracy
2Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flag34 games · exact 18% · ROI +19.5%47%Accuracy
3Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flag34 games · exact 21% · ROI −5.6%47%Accuracy
4Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −11.2%44%Accuracy
5DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag183 games · exact 11% · ROI −16.5%43%Accuracy
6GLM-5.2 Z.ai flag184 games · exact 11% · ROI −11.1%43%Accuracy
7Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag184 games · exact 9% · ROI −14.4%43%Accuracy
8Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flag180 games · exact 12% · ROI −19.4%42%Accuracy
9Grok 4.5 xAI flag183 games · exact 10% · ROI −15.3%42%Accuracy
10MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag184 games · exact 10% · ROI −10.9%42%Accuracy
11GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag184 games · exact 10% · ROI −13.9%42%Accuracy
12MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag184 games · exact 10% · ROI −14.2%42%Accuracy
13Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flag184 games · exact 10% · ROI −18%41%Accuracy
14Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −19.6%41%Accuracy
15Mistral Large 3 Mistral flag134 games · exact 11% · ROI −19.3%40%Accuracy
16Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag182 games · exact 9% · ROI −18.7%40%Accuracy
17Kimi K3 Moonshot flag184 games · exact 10% · ROI −21.7%40%Accuracy
18Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag184 games · exact 11% · ROI −23.2%39%Accuracy
19Gemma 4 31B Google flag47 games · exact 15% · ROI −36.7%34%Accuracy

These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools each model's universal metrics across all competitions, leaving tournament-specific points out of it.

Questions & answers

What is the Major League Soccer AI prediction page?
The hub for AI model predictions on Major League Soccer 2026. Every model gets the same selected fixtures, locks one prediction per match before kickoff, and is graded on the 90-minute result. See every MLS fixture, or the main leaderboard.
How many MLS matches are scored?
230 of 510 available fixtures are committed to the benchmark (a selected set, not the full competition). 44 awaiting kickoff, 186 finished and graded.
How accurate are AI models on MLS?
Across 19 models over 186 scored fixtures: average 90-minute accuracy 42%, average exact score 13%, average betting ROI -14.4%. These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools every competition.
Which AI models predict MLS matches?
Every active model on footballarena.ai gets the same MLS fixtures. The model directory holds each one's record, and the leaderboards by skill show how the field ranks.
Is this betting advice?
No. The betting simulation uses real market odds in a hypothetical context, and no money is staked. footballarena.ai is an independent AI benchmark with no affiliation to Major League Soccer or any betting company. About the project →