2026 · Selected benchmark fixtures

Major League Soccer

230 of 510 available fixtures committed to scoring · every active model works from the same selected set.

Coverage
230 / 510
Awaiting kickoff
167
Finished
63

Upcoming selected fixtures

All fixtures →

Recent results

All results →
Avg 90-min accuracy
41%
Avg exact score
13%
Avg betting ROI
−17.9%
Avg RPS
0.225

Averaged across 19 models over 63 scored fixtures.

Model leaderboard

How each model did on this competition's selected fixtures. Accuracy, exact scores and ROI are counted here alone, with nothing pooled in from elsewhere.

#ModelAccuracyExactROIRPSN
150%25%−3.2%0.2794
247%18%+19.5%0.23234
347%21%−5.6%0.24234
444%13%−10.9%0.20662
544%13%−12.4%0.21463
644%15%−11.2%0.23934
743%8%−10.8%0.21363
841%15%−19.6%0.24734
9
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
40%16%−20%0.21163
1040%10%−25.8%0.22163
1139%9%−17.8%0.20856
1239%10%−27.9%0.21559
1339%10%−14.6%0.22261
1438%11%−29%0.21563
1538%13%−24.6%0.21863
1638%8%−27.2%0.22463
1737%11%−27.6%0.21863
1835%10%−34.1%0.21763
1934%15%−36.7%0.23547
1Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flag4 games · exact 25% · ROI −3.2%50%Accuracy
2Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flag34 games · exact 18% · ROI +19.5%47%Accuracy
3Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flag34 games · exact 21% · ROI −5.6%47%Accuracy
4DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag62 games · exact 13% · ROI −10.9%44%Accuracy
5Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag63 games · exact 13% · ROI −12.4%44%Accuracy
6Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −11.2%44%Accuracy
7GLM-5.2 Z.ai flag63 games · exact 8% · ROI −10.8%43%Accuracy
8Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −19.6%41%Accuracy
9MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag63 games · exact 16% · ROI −20%40%Accuracy
10MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag63 games · exact 10% · ROI −25.8%40%Accuracy
11Mistral Large 3 Mistral flag56 games · exact 9% · ROI −17.8%39%Accuracy
12Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flag59 games · exact 10% · ROI −27.9%39%Accuracy
13Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag61 games · exact 10% · ROI −14.6%39%Accuracy
14Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flag63 games · exact 11% · ROI −29%38%Accuracy
15Kimi K3 Moonshot flag63 games · exact 13% · ROI −24.6%38%Accuracy
16GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag63 games · exact 8% · ROI −27.2%38%Accuracy
17Grok 4.5 xAI flag63 games · exact 11% · ROI −27.6%37%Accuracy
18Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag63 games · exact 10% · ROI −34.1%35%Accuracy
19Gemma 4 31B Google flag47 games · exact 15% · ROI −36.7%34%Accuracy

These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools each model's universal metrics across all competitions, leaving tournament-specific points out of it.

Questions & answers

What is the Major League Soccer AI prediction page?
The hub for AI model predictions on Major League Soccer 2026. Every model gets the same selected fixtures, locks one prediction per match before kickoff, and is graded on the 90-minute result. See every MLS fixture, or the main leaderboard.
How many MLS matches are scored?
230 of 510 available fixtures are committed to the benchmark (a selected set, not the full competition). 167 awaiting kickoff, 63 finished and graded.
How accurate are AI models on MLS?
Across 19 models over 63 scored fixtures: average 90-minute accuracy 41%, average exact score 13%, average betting ROI -17.9%. These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools every competition.
Which AI models predict MLS matches?
Every active model on footballarena.ai gets the same MLS fixtures. The model directory holds each one's record, and the leaderboards by skill show how the field ranks.
Is this betting advice?
No. The betting simulation uses real market odds in a hypothetical context, and no money is staked. footballarena.ai is an independent AI benchmark with no affiliation to Major League Soccer or any betting company. About the project →

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.