Portland Timbers vs Charlotte — predictions and result
Portland Timbers
90-minute result3–2
Charlotte
Regular Season - 31Providence Park
Predictions
12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Portland are a different side at Providence Park, where their high-volume attack (Velde, Da Costa, Lassiter) usually produces goals, while Charlotte's away form has been merely adequate and they arrive on a poor run. The Timbers' own defensive leakiness keeps Charlotte live, so an open game with a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Portland are strong at Providence Park and carry the attacking edge, while Charlotte have been resilient but inconsistent on the road, making a narrow Timbers win the most likely outcome.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Portland Timbers carry strong home advantage at Providence Park and boast a productive attack, giving them a slight edge over a well-organized Charlotte side in what should be a closely contested inter-conference match.
Muse Spark 1.2
Portland's home advantage at Providence Park offsets Charlotte's slightly better points-per-game, with Charlotte arriving trying to avoid a third straight defeat and Portland's attack led by Velde and Da Costa creating more chances in an open game.
MiniMax M3
Portland's strong home record and creative attacking duo make them the slight favorite, with a 2-1 scoreline best matching their scoring potential. Charlotte's recent form and defensiveness make them a credible away threat, keeping the draw and away victory well represented.
Kimi K3
Portland's solid home record at Providence Park and Charlotte's middling road form (plus a two-game losing skid coming in) favor the hosts, though Charlotte's slightly stronger overall numbers keep the draw and away result very much in play.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Portland's strong home record (7-4-4) and multi-pronged attack (Velde 17 goal contributions, De Costa, Lassiter) favor them against a Charlotte side with a mediocre away record (5-6-4) that relies heavily on Idan Gorno; both teams score regularly, making a narrow home win the likeliest outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Portland’s solid home record and multiple attacking contributors give them a narrow edge. Charlotte are competitive away, but Portland’s home advantage makes a close, high-scoring win the likeliest outcome.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Portland is strong at Providence Park (7-4-4 at home per AP News) with potent attacking threats in Velde, Lassiter, and Da Costa, while Charlotte is struggling with form and facing a potential third consecutive defeat. Charlotte's solid away draw tendency and respectable defense keep them competitive, but Portland's home advantage and attacking depth should edge a narrow victory.
Grok 4.5
Portland's solid home record and balanced attack give them the edge in a non-conference matchup against a mid-table Charlotte side that has been inconsistent on the road, though both teams' similar goal outputs keep the draw live.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Portland's solid home record (7-4-4) and stronger attacking output (33 goals, led by Velde's 17 goal contributions and De Costa's chance creation) make them narrow favorites over a Charlotte side that is mid-table and inconsistent on the road (5-6-4). The underlying projection of ~2.1 Portland goals to ~1.5 favors a narrow Timbers win, though both defenses have been leaky enough to keep the draw and an Idan Gorno-inspired away result live.
GLM-5.2
Portland holds a solid home record (7-4-4) with a potent attack led by Velde (8G+9A) and Lassiter, while Charlotte arrives on a poor run seeking to avoid a third straight defeat despite a slightly better overall standing and defensive record. The Timbers' home advantage and Charlotte's road mediocrity (5-6-4) tilt this toward a narrow Portland win.