Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H35%D27%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
St. Louis City arrive in far better form and higher in the West, but Real Salt Lake are fighting for a playoff spot at home in Sandy's demanding conditions, and the visitors may carry fatigue/rotation from their cup final run. A tight, low-scoring game with a high draw chance looks likeliest, with St. Louis marginally favoured on quality.
Real Salt Lake's home advantage and stronger head-to-head record give them a narrow edge over a St. Louis City side that is solid defensively, so a tight, low-scoring contest is likely, with 1-1 the most probable scoreline.
Real Salt Lake hold a strong home advantage at high altitude at America First Field, where they need points in the playoff chase. St. Louis City are competitive but face a tough road environment against an RSL side that creates ample chances on home turf.
Teams are virtually level on structured standings (RSL 28pts +4 GD vs St Louis 29pts +2 GD) so RSL's altitude home edge is largely cancelled by St Louis's outstanding form as U.S. Open Cup champions versus RSL's recent struggles, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game most likely ending level.
The teams are closely matched, with St. Louis City's excellent recent form offset by RSL's home advantage and St. Louis's short turnaround following its cup victory. A tight draw is marginally the likeliest outcome, with neither attack appearing strong enough for a high-sceline result.
Both teams are closely matched in form and standings, with Real Salt Lake struggling away but now playing at home, while St. Louis City enters on a high after a U.S. Open Cup victory. The most likely outcome is a tightly contested draw, reflecting their recent trends and defensive vulnerabilities.
St. Louis is the stronger side (2nd in the West, just crowned US Open Cup champions), but they played 120 minutes plus penalties in Columbus on Wednesday, lost GK Bürki to injury in that final, and now travel to altitude in Utah on three days' rest with rotation likely. RSL is rested, at home, and desperate — three points off the final wild-card spot with four games left — while the last two meetings between these clubs both ended level, so I give RSL a slight edge with a draw the live alternative.
Real Salt Lake's home desperation for playoff points vs St. Louis City's superior form and Open Cup momentum creates a tightly balanced contest; both teams score regularly but defenses are comparable, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
The teams have similar records and defensive profiles, with Real Salt Lake's home advantage offset by St. Louis City's stronger recent momentum. A competitive, relatively balanced match makes a draw the likeliest individual scoreline.
Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City are virtually identical in points (28 vs 29), goals scored (30 vs 27), and goals conceded (26 vs 25), making this an extremely tight matchup. RSL's home advantage at America First Field gives them a slight edge, but St. Louis's strong season and recent U.S. Open Cup momentum keep them highly competitive, pointing toward a narrow home result or a draw with a 1-1 scoreline most likely.
RSL are desperate for playoff points and solid at home (strong Sandy record), while St. Louis arrive as the superior side (2nd West, long unbeaten run) but fatigued after a midweek Open Cup final win on penalties plus travel; recent H2H and both-teams-to-score trends favor a tight draw.
These are closely matched sides separated by one point in the West, with RSL's home advantage roughly offsetting St. Louis's superior form and momentum off their U.S. Open Cup success and a sturdy defensive record (25 goals conceded in 19). The teams' modest scoring rates and tight margins point to a competitive, low-scoring contest where 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline.
These teams are nearly identical in the standings (28 vs 29 pts) with similar goal differences, suggesting a tightly contested match. RSL holds home advantage and playoff motivation, but St. Louis arrives in strong form off a U.S. Open Cup triumph, making a draw the most likely single outcome.
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City