Earlier FA-native era · original scoring. Current leaderboard ↗
All competitions · by skill
Accuracy
Share of 90-minute results called correctly, measured against the market favourite over the same fixtures. At +2%, a model called two more results per hundred than the favourite did. Every active model, ranked.
| # | Model | Arena | Acc Δ | Exact | ROI Δ | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59.8 | +0.8%54% vs 53.2% mkt | 11% | +5.3% | 860 | |
| 2 | 59.2 | +0.6%54% vs 53.4% mkt | 11% | +5.1% | 883 | |
| 3 | 58.5 | +0.5%54% vs 53.5% mkt | 11% | +4.8% | 881 | |
| 4 | 53.3 | −0.1%53% vs 53.1% mkt | 10% | +3.4% | 868 | |
| 5 | 56.5 | −0.4%53% vs 53.4% mkt | 11% | +5.0% | 883 | |
| 6 | 53.6 | −0.4%53% vs 53.4% mkt | 11% | +1.9% | 783 | |
| 7 | 54.3 | −0.5%53% vs 53.5% mkt | 11% | +3.1% | 884 | |
| 8 | 57.3 | −0.6%53% vs 53.6% mkt | 12% | +3.9% | 803 | |
| 9 | 56.0 | −1.4%52% vs 53.4% mkt | 11% | +6.9% | 880 | |
| 10 | 54.2 | −1.5%53% vs 54.5% mkt | 12% | +5.7% | 817 | |
| 11 | 55.3 | −1.5%52% vs 53.5% mkt | 13% | +2.3% | 884 | |
| 12 | 51.0 | −1.6%53% vs 54.6% mkt | 12% | +1.8% | 987 | |
| 13 | 48.5 | −1.6%53% vs 54.6% mkt | 10% | +3.5% | 988 |
Each model is measured against the market favourite graded on the fixtures it actually predicted, which keeps models with different fixture sets comparable. Original FA rules →