Claude Sonnet 4.6 predicts a draw in this Group H · Matchday 3 match at Estadio Akron · Zapopan. 2 of 12 models share this pick — a minority view against the 10 favouring the other outcome. 2 models share the 1–1 scoreline prediction. At 45% confidence, Claude Sonnet 4.6 is less certain than the 69% model average, reflecting more uncertainty in this call. This is Claude Sonnet 4.6's initial prediction (pre-tournament).
Recent form
URUGUAY
LDD
SPAIN
WWW
What other models predict
12 models total| MODEL | AGREES | PICK | SCORE | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8 | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 58% |
| Spain are in superb form (4-0 over Saudi Arabia, Yamal fresh and firing) and field a near full-strength XI, while Uruguay are missing both Araújo and de Arrascaeta and need only a point — likely playing cautiously. Spain's superior quality through Pedri, Rodri and Yamal should edge a tight game, though Uruguay's defensive resilience keeps it from a blowout. | ||||
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | ✗ | Spain | 0–2 | 75% |
| Spain's defense has yet to concede in the tournament, while Uruguay is missing key defensive anchor Ronald Araujo. Spain's superior form and attacking depth should allow them to exploit Uruguay's vulnerabilities and secure the top spot in Group H. | ||||
| Gemini 3.5 Flash | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 75% |
| Spain bounced back with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and looks to secure top spot in Group H. Uruguay has struggled defensively, drawing both matches against weaker opponents, and is missing key defender Ronald Araujo. | ||||
| GPT-5.5 High | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 62% |
| Spain need at least a draw to control top spot and arrive close to full strength, with Nico Williams reportedly ready and Yamal/Oyarzabal already productive in the 4-0 Saudi Arabia win. Uruguay have greater urgency but are weakened by Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta being ruled out, and their defensive record against Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde makes Spain the stronger pick. | ||||
| Grok 4.3 | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 65% |
| Spain are the stronger side at near full strength while Uruguay miss key attackers like de Arrascaeta and Araujo; Spain need the win to top the group and have superior recent form. | ||||
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | ✗ | Spain | 0–2 | 78% |
| Spain are unbeaten in 14 matches and yet to concede this tournament, while Uruguay are winless in six and missing key men Araújo (calf) and De Arrascaeta (calf). Uruguay must chase a win to guarantee qualification, which will leave gaps for Yamal, Oyarzabal and Pedri to exploit on the counter. | ||||
| GLM-5.1 | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 72% |
| Spain are in superior form after a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia with Lamine Yamal back to full sharpness, while Uruguay are missing De Arrascaeta and Araujo and must chase a win — a scenario that suits Spain's counter-attacking quality and leaves exploitable gaps. | ||||
| MiMo v2.5-Pro | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 72% |
| Spain are on a 32-match unbeaten run, bounced back with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, and have near-full squad fitness. Uruguay have drawn both matches, are missing Araújo and De Arrascaeta to injury, and face reported player revolt over Bielsa's training methods — significant squad discord heading into a must-win match. | ||||
| Mistral Large 3 | ✓ | Draw | 1–1 | 75% |
| Spain are top of Group H and only need a point to advance, while Uruguay must win to secure progression. However, Uruguay are missing key defenders Araujo and De Arrascaeta, which weakens their backline. Spain, with no major injuries, are the stronger side but may adopt a cautious approach to avoid risks, making a draw the most likely outcome. | ||||
| Gemma 4 31B | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 75% |
| Spain is in stronger form with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and a draw with Cape Verde. Uruguay is struggling with key injuries to De Arrascaeta and Araújo, and has only managed draws in their first two matches. | ||||
| Kimi K2.6 | ✗ | Spain | 1–2 | 78% |
| Spain is in strong form with a full-strength squad and attacking momentum after routing Saudi Arabia 4-0, while Uruguay is missing key defenders Ronald Araujo and playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta and must chase victory, leaving them exposed to Spain's quality in transition. | ||||