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FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner

France flagFrance
10 / 11 models
consensus pick

10 of 11 AI models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026. The second most popular pick is Spain (1 model).

The FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner prediction tracks which AI models are most confident about the outright tournament winner. Predictions are updated daily and can change if models revise their bracket after each match.

Model picks

11 models
MODELPICKCONFIDENCE
ZAI
GLM-5.1 ↺ FLIPPED Jul 10
72%
OA
GPT-5.5 High ↺ FLIPPED Jun 23
43%
AN
Claude Opus 4.8 ↺ FLIPPED Jun 26
40%
MS
Kimi K2.6 ↺ FLIPPED Jul 10
75%
DS
DeepSeek V4 Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jul 8
72%
GO
Gemini 3.1 Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jul 9
75%
GO
Gemini 3.5 Flash ↺ FLIPPED Jun 15
85%
XAI
Grok 4.3 ↺ FLIPPED Jul 10
68%
XMI
MiMo v2.5-Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jul 10
48%
GO
Gemma 4 31B ↺ FLIPPED Jul 10
80%

Consensus over time

35 days
2026-07-10
France flagFrance 10/11
2026-07-09
France flagFrance 7/11
2026-07-08
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-07-07
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-07-06
France flagFrance 11/11
2026-07-05
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-07-04
France flagFrance 8/11
2026-07-03
France flagFrance 11/11
2026-07-02
France flagFrance 11/11
2026-07-01
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-06-30
France flagFrance 7/11
2026-06-29
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-06-28
France flagFrance 8/11
2026-06-27
France flagFrance 10/11
2026-06-26
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-25
Argentina flagArgentina 8/11
2026-06-24
Argentina flagArgentina 6/11
2026-06-23
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-22
France flagFrance / Germany flagGermany 4/11 eachSPLIT
2026-06-21
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-20
Argentina flagArgentina / France flagFrance 5/11 eachSPLIT
2026-06-19
Argentina flagArgentina / France flagFrance 5/11 eachSPLIT
2026-06-18
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-17
France flagFrance 7/11
2026-06-16
France flagFrance 7/11
2026-06-15
France flagFrance 4/11
2026-06-14
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-13
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-12
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-11
France flagFrance 6/11
2026-06-10
Spain flagSpain 5/11
2026-06-09
France flagFrance 9/11
2026-06-08
France flagFrance 8/11
2026-06-07
France flagFrance 8/11
2026-06-06
France flagFrance 7/11

Pick histories

10 flips
ZAI GLM-5.1 12 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 11.
Jun 13
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 13.
Jun 14
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 14.
Jun 15
Flipped from FRA to GER on Jun 15.
Jun 16
Flipped from GER to FRA on Jun 16.
Jun 18
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 18.
Jun 21
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 21.
Jun 24
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 24.
Jun 27
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 27.
Jul 9
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 9.
Jul 10
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 10.
OA GPT-5.5 High 5 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 14
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 14.
Jun 16
Flipped from ESP to GER on Jun 16.
Jun 17
Flipped from GER to FRA on Jun 17.
Jun 22
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 23.
AN Claude Opus 4.8 10 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 9.
Jun 14
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 14.
Jun 16
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 16.
Jun 19
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 19.
Jun 20
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 20.
Jun 22
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 23.
Jun 25
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 25.
Jun 26
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 26.
MS Kimi K2.6 14 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 13
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 13.
Jun 14
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 14.
Jun 15
Flipped from FRA to GER on Jun 15.
Jun 17
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 17.
Jun 21
Flipped from ARG to GER on Jun 21.
Jun 23
Flipped from GER to FRA on Jun 23.
Jun 24
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 24.
Jun 26
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 26.
Jun 27
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 27.
Jun 29
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 29.
Jun 30
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 30.
Jul 1
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 1.
Jul 9
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 9.
Jul 10
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 10.
DS DeepSeek V4 Pro 18 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 9.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 12
Flipped from ESP to ARG on Jun 12.
Jun 13
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 13.
Jun 14
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 14.
Jun 15
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 15.
Jun 17
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 17.
Jun 18
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 18.
Jun 20
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 20.
Jun 22
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 23.
Jun 24
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 24.
Jun 25
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 25.
Jun 27
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 27.
Jul 7
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 7.
Jul 8
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 8.
GO Gemini 3.1 Pro 20 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from FRA to ENG on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from ENG to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to ARG on Jun 11.
Jun 12
Flipped from ARG to ESP on Jun 12.
Jun 13
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 13.
Jun 15
Flipped from FRA to POR on Jun 15.
Jun 16
Flipped from POR to FRA on Jun 16.
Jun 18
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 18.
Jun 19
Flipped from ARG to ENG on Jun 19.
Jun 20
Flipped from ENG to ARG on Jun 20.
Jun 21
Flipped from ARG to BRA on Jun 21.
Jun 22
Flipped from BRA to ARG on Jun 22.
Jun 26
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 26.
Jun 30
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 30.
Jul 1
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 1.
Jul 4
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 4.
Jul 6
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 6.
Jul 7
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 7.
Jul 9
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 9.
GO Gemini 3.5 Flash 5 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 8
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 9.
Jun 12
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 12.
Jun 14
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 14.
Jun 15
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 15.
XAI Grok 4.3 20 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 9.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to BRA on Jun 10.
Jun 13
Flipped from BRA to ARG on Jun 13.
Jun 14
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 14.
Jun 15
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 15.
Jun 16
Flipped from ARG to GER on Jun 16.
Jun 17
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 17.
Jun 20
Flipped from ARG to BRA on Jun 20.
Jun 21
Flipped from BRA to FRA on Jun 21.
Jun 22
Flipped from FRA to GER on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 23.
Jun 27
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 27.
Jun 28
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 28.
Jul 2
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 2.
Jul 4
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 4.
Jul 6
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 6.
Jul 8
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 8.
Jul 10
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 10.
XMI MiMo v2.5-Pro 14 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 11.
Jun 12
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 12.
Jun 14
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 14.
Jun 20
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 20.
Jun 22
Flipped from ARG to GER on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 23.
Jun 27
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 27.
Jun 28
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 28.
Jun 29
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 29.
Jul 4
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 4.
Jul 5
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 5.
Jul 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jul 10.
GO Gemma 4 31B 14 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 9.
Jun 16
Flipped from ARG to GER on Jun 16.
Jun 17
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 17.
Jun 20
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 20.
Jun 21
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 21.
Jun 22
Flipped from ARG to GER on Jun 22.
Jun 23
Flipped from GER to ARG on Jun 23.
Jun 27
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 27.
Jun 29
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 29.
Jul 2
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 2.
Jul 9
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jul 9.
Jul 10
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jul 10.

Vote distribution

11 models
10 / 11
1 / 11

Consensus favourites over time

35 days
25%50%75%FranceSpainArgentinaGermanyJun 6Jun 23Jul 10
% of models backing each candidate per day

Other awards

⚽ Golden Boot → 🌟 Golden Ball → 🧤 Golden Glove →

Frequently asked questions

Which AI models predict France for FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
10 of 11 AI models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner, making it the consensus pick.
Do all AI models agree on the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
10 of 11 models agree on France. 1 models pick Spain as their alternative.
What does ChatGPT predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
OpenAI's ChatGPT (GPT-5.5 High) predicts France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.
What does Gemini predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
All Google Gemini models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.
What does Claude predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
Anthropic's Claude (Claude Opus 4.8) predicts France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.