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Group H · Matchday 3 · 27 Jun · 00:00 UTC

Uruguay vs Spain

Uruguay flag URU
0–1 FINAL SCORE
ESP Spain flag

Spain strong favorites — 10 of 11 models back them.

FULL TIME Estadio Akron · Zapopan
URU
7.20
Draw
3.90
ESP
1.48
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
0–1
10 of 11 AI models predicted Spain correctly

0 of 11 AI models predict Uruguay to win against Spain (Group H · Matchday 3) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 27 Jun · 00:00 UTC — Estadio Akron · Zapopan.

Spain are the AI consensus pick with 10 of 11 models in agreement. 0 models back Uruguay, 1 predict a draw, 10 favour Spain. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 1–2.

This fixture is part of Group H at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
0 URU · 0% 1 DRAW · 9% 10 ESP · 91%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
1–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
71%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw 1–1 40%

Spain are in superb form (4-0 over Saudi Arabia, Yamal fresh and firing) and field a near full-strength XI, while Uruguay are missing both Araújo and de Arrascaeta and need only a point — likely playing cautiously. Spain's superior quality through Pedri, Rodri and Yamal should edge a tight game, though Uruguay's defensive resilience keeps it from a blowout.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw 1–1 70%

Spain's defense has yet to concede in the tournament, while Uruguay is missing key defensive anchor Ronald Araujo. Spain's superior form and attacking depth should allow them to exploit Uruguay's vulnerabilities and secure the top spot in Group H.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw 1–1 55%

Spain bounced back with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and looks to secure top spot in Group H. Uruguay has struggled defensively, drawing both matches against weaker opponents, and is missing key defender Ronald Araujo.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw 1–1 39%

Spain need at least a draw to control top spot and arrive close to full strength, with Nico Williams reportedly ready and Yamal/Oyarzabal already productive in the 4-0 Saudi Arabia win. Uruguay have greater urgency but are weakened by Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta being ruled out, and their defensive record against Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde makes Spain the stronger pick.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 Draw 1–1 65%

Spain are the stronger side at near full strength while Uruguay miss key attackers like de Arrascaeta and Araujo; Spain need the win to top the group and have superior recent form.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro ESP win 1–2 60%

Spain are unbeaten in 14 matches and yet to concede this tournament, while Uruguay are winless in six and missing key men Araújo (calf) and De Arrascaeta (calf). Uruguay must chase a win to guarantee qualification, which will leave gaps for Yamal, Oyarzabal and Pedri to exploit on the counter.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 ESP win 1–2 55%

Spain are in superior form after a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia with Lamine Yamal back to full sharpness, while Uruguay are missing De Arrascaeta and Araujo and must chase a win — a scenario that suits Spain's counter-attacking quality and leaves exploitable gaps.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw 1–1 45%

Spain are on a 32-match unbeaten run, bounced back with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, and have near-full squad fitness. Uruguay have drawn both matches, are missing Araújo and De Arrascaeta to injury, and face reported player revolt over Bielsa's training methods — significant squad discord heading into a must-win match.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 URU win 2–1 75%

Spain are top of Group H and only need a point to advance, while Uruguay must win to secure progression. However, Uruguay are missing key defenders Araujo and De Arrascaeta, which weakens their backline. Spain, with no major injuries, are the stronger side but may adopt a cautious approach to avoid risks, making a draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B Draw 1–1 50%

Spain is in stronger form with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and a draw with Cape Verde. Uruguay is struggling with key injuries to De Arrascaeta and Araújo, and has only managed draws in their first two matches.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 ESP win 1–2 65%

Spain is in strong form with a full-strength squad and attacking momentum after routing Saudi Arabia 4-0, while Uruguay is missing key defenders Ronald Araujo and playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta and must chase victory, leaving them exposed to Spain's quality in transition.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 26
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw ESP win 1–2 58%

Spain are in superb form (4-0 over Saudi Arabia, Yamal fresh and firing) and field a near full-strength XI, while Uruguay are missing both Araújo and de Arrascaeta and need only a point — likely playing cautiously. Spain's superior quality through Pedri, Rodri and Yamal should edge a tight game, though Uruguay's defensive resilience keeps it from a blowout.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw ESP win 0–2 75%

Spain's defense has yet to concede in the tournament, while Uruguay is missing key defensive anchor Ronald Araujo. Spain's superior form and attacking depth should allow them to exploit Uruguay's vulnerabilities and secure the top spot in Group H.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw ESP win 1–2 75%

Spain bounced back with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and looks to secure top spot in Group H. Uruguay has struggled defensively, drawing both matches against weaker opponents, and is missing key defender Ronald Araujo.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw ESP win 1–2 62%

Spain need at least a draw to control top spot and arrive close to full strength, with Nico Williams reportedly ready and Yamal/Oyarzabal already productive in the 4-0 Saudi Arabia win. Uruguay have greater urgency but are weakened by Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta being ruled out, and their defensive record against Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde makes Spain the stronger pick.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 Draw ESP win 1–2 65%

Spain are the stronger side at near full strength while Uruguay miss key attackers like de Arrascaeta and Araujo; Spain need the win to top the group and have superior recent form.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro ESP win ESP win 0–2 78%

Spain are unbeaten in 14 matches and yet to concede this tournament, while Uruguay are winless in six and missing key men Araújo (calf) and De Arrascaeta (calf). Uruguay must chase a win to guarantee qualification, which will leave gaps for Yamal, Oyarzabal and Pedri to exploit on the counter.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 ESP win 1–2 72%

Spain are in superior form after a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia with Lamine Yamal back to full sharpness, while Uruguay are missing De Arrascaeta and Araujo and must chase a win — a scenario that suits Spain's counter-attacking quality and leaves exploitable gaps.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw ESP win 1–2 72%

Spain are on a 32-match unbeaten run, bounced back with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, and have near-full squad fitness. Uruguay have drawn both matches, are missing Araújo and De Arrascaeta to injury, and face reported player revolt over Bielsa's training methods — significant squad discord heading into a must-win match.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 URU win Draw 1–1 75%

Spain are top of Group H and only need a point to advance, while Uruguay must win to secure progression. However, Uruguay are missing key defenders Araujo and De Arrascaeta, which weakens their backline. Spain, with no major injuries, are the stronger side but may adopt a cautious approach to avoid risks, making a draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B Draw ESP win 1–2 75%

Spain is in stronger form with a dominant 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and a draw with Cape Verde. Uruguay is struggling with key injuries to De Arrascaeta and Araújo, and has only managed draws in their first two matches.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 ESP win 1–2 78%

Spain is in strong form with a full-strength squad and attacking momentum after routing Saudi Arabia 4-0, while Uruguay is missing key defenders Ronald Araujo and playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta and must chase victory, leaving them exposed to Spain's quality in transition.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

10/11 correct
91%
10 of 11 models correct
VENUE Estadio Akron · Zapopan
KICKOFF 27 Jun · 00:00 UTC
STAGE Group H · Matchday 3
GROUP Group H
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Uruguay vs Spain? +
Uruguay vs Spain finished 0–1. Spain won. — Group H · Matchday 3.
Did AI correctly predict Uruguay vs Spain? +
10 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Spain to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct Uruguay vs Spain result? +
Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Gemini 3.5 Flash, GPT-5.5 High, Grok 4.3, DeepSeek V4 Pro, GLM-5.1, MiMo v2.5-Pro, Gemma 4 31B, Kimi K2.6.
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