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Group D · Matchday 1 · 13 Jun · 01:00 UTC

USA vs Paraguay

USA flag USA
4–1 FINAL SCORE
PAR Paraguay flag

USA picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME SoFi Stadium · Inglewood
USA
2.05
Draw
3.30
PAR
3.80
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
4–1
11 of 11 AI models predicted USA correctly

11 of 11 AI models predict USA to win against Paraguay (Group D · Matchday 1) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 13 Jun · 01:00 UTC — SoFi Stadium · Inglewood.

All 11 frontier AI models — including Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, and Grok — unanimously predict a USA victory.

This fixture is part of Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
11 USA · 100% 0 DRAW · 0% 0 PAR · 0%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
2–1
AVG CONFIDENCE
68%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw 1–1 40%

USA play at home (SoFi) with key CB Chris Richards declared fit and a high-press system under Pochettino; Paraguay missing Julio Enciso lack the attacking edge to keep pace, and most previews favor a comfortable USMNT win.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro USA win 2–0 85%

The USA has a strong home advantage playing in Los Angeles under Mauricio Pochettino, while Paraguay will be missing their star player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash USA win 2–1 75%

The USA, playing on home soil under Mauricio Pochettino, are strong favorites against a Paraguay side missing their star creative player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High USA win 2–1 60%

USA have home advantage in Los Angeles and Chris Richards is reportedly available again, strengthening a key defensive area. Paraguay are dangerous and physical, but Julio Enciso's thigh issue weakens their attacking threat, so I lean USA narrowly.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win 2–0 65%

USA enter with strong squad depth and home advantage at SoFi; Paraguay lack standout form and face a motivated US side in Group D opener.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro USA win 2–0 78%

USA are co-hosts at SoFi Stadium with massive home advantage, Pochettino has had 21 months to prepare, they beat Paraguay 2-1 in a November friendly, and Chris Richards is available after injury. Paraguay are physical and well-organized under Alfaro but Julio Enciso is managing a quad issue and may not start, limiting their attacking threat.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 USA win 2–1 65%

USA benefit from massive home support at SoFi Stadium and beat Paraguay 2-1 in a recent friendly; Paraguay's historically poor World Cup opener record (1 win in 8) and the return of Chris Richards bolster the co-hosts, though Paraguay's physicality under Alfaro keeps it tight.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro USA win 2–0 72%

USA have full squad availability, home advantage at SoFi Stadium, and Pochettino's tactical setup, while Paraguay are significantly weakened by Enciso's hamstring injury and Bobadilla's knee issue. The co-hosts should edge a competitive opener.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 USA win 2–1 75%

The USA enters the tournament with strong attacking options like Folarin Balogun and Christian Pulisic, and despite Paraguay's resilience, the home advantage and depth in the squad give the USMNT the edge. Paraguay will miss key playmaker Julio Enciso due to injury, which could limit their creativity.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B USA win 2–0 75%

USA has the home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and a deeper squad. Paraguay is dealing with injury concerns to key attackers like Julio Enciso and Damian Bobadilla.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 USA win 2–0 75%

USA has home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and Chris Richards is fit, while Paraguay is likely without key attacker Julio Enciso after he was stretchered off in the final pre-tournament friendly. The USMNT also beat Paraguay 2-1 in a friendly last November.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 12
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw USA win 2–0 62%

USA play at home (SoFi) with key CB Chris Richards declared fit and a high-press system under Pochettino; Paraguay missing Julio Enciso lack the attacking edge to keep pace, and most previews favor a comfortable USMNT win.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro USA win 2–0 80%

The USA has a strong home advantage playing in Los Angeles under Mauricio Pochettino, while Paraguay will be missing their star player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash USA win 2–1 75%

The USA, playing on home soil under Mauricio Pochettino, are strong favorites against a Paraguay side missing their star creative player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High USA win 2–1 66%

USA have home advantage in Los Angeles and Chris Richards is reportedly available again, strengthening a key defensive area. Paraguay are dangerous and physical, but Julio Enciso's thigh issue weakens their attacking threat, so I lean USA narrowly.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win USA win 2–1 65%

USA enter with strong squad depth and home advantage at SoFi; Paraguay lack standout form and face a motivated US side in Group D opener.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro USA win USA win 2–1 72%

USA are co-hosts at SoFi Stadium with massive home advantage, Pochettino has had 21 months to prepare, they beat Paraguay 2-1 in a November friendly, and Chris Richards is available after injury. Paraguay are physical and well-organized under Alfaro but Julio Enciso is managing a quad issue and may not start, limiting their attacking threat.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 USA win 2–1 55%

USA benefit from massive home support at SoFi Stadium and beat Paraguay 2-1 in a recent friendly; Paraguay's historically poor World Cup opener record (1 win in 8) and the return of Chris Richards bolster the co-hosts, though Paraguay's physicality under Alfaro keeps it tight.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro USA win USA win 2–1 65%

USA have full squad availability, home advantage at SoFi Stadium, and Pochettino's tactical setup, while Paraguay are significantly weakened by Enciso's hamstring injury and Bobadilla's knee issue. The co-hosts should edge a competitive opener.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 USA win 2–1 75%

The USA enters the tournament with strong attacking options like Folarin Balogun and Christian Pulisic, and despite Paraguay's resilience, the home advantage and depth in the squad give the USMNT the edge. Paraguay will miss key playmaker Julio Enciso due to injury, which could limit their creativity.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B USA win 2–0 75%

USA has the home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and a deeper squad. Paraguay is dealing with injury concerns to key attackers like Julio Enciso and Damian Bobadilla.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 USA win USA win 2–1 60%

USA has home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and Chris Richards is fit, while Paraguay is likely without key attacker Julio Enciso after he was stretchered off in the final pre-tournament friendly. The USMNT also beat Paraguay 2-1 in a friendly last November.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
VENUE SoFi Stadium · Inglewood
KICKOFF 13 Jun · 01:00 UTC
STAGE Group D · Matchday 1
GROUP Group D
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of USA vs Paraguay? +
USA vs Paraguay finished 4–1. USA won. — Group D · Matchday 1.
Did AI correctly predict USA vs Paraguay? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted USA to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct USA vs Paraguay result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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