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Group D · Matchday 2 · 19 Jun · 19:00 UTC

USA vs Australia

USA flag USA
2–0 FINAL SCORE
AUS Australia flag

USA picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME Lumen Field · Seattle
USA
1.65
Draw
4.10
AUS
4.55
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
2–0
11 of 11 AI models predicted USA correctly · 1 called the exact score

11 of 11 AI models predict USA to win against Australia (Group D · Matchday 2) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 19 Jun · 19:00 UTC — Lumen Field · Seattle.

All 11 frontier AI models — including Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, and Grok — unanimously predict a USA victory.

This fixture is part of Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
11 USA · 100% 0 DRAW · 0% 0 AUS · 0%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
2–1
AVG CONFIDENCE
68%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 USA win 2–1 50%

USA are favorites at home in Seattle (Opta gives them 58.5% win probability), boosted by Balogun's hot form after the 4-1 win over Paraguay; Australia will sit deep with a back three and may grab one, but the USMNT's quality should prevail.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro USA win 2–1 75%

Despite Christian Pulisic's calf injury making him questionable, the USA's attacking depth and home advantage in Seattle should help them edge past a resilient Australian side.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash USA win 2–1 72%

The USA showed impressive clinical finishing in their 4-1 opening victory and will have strong home support in Seattle. While Australia won their opener, they allowed 30 shots against Turkey, suggesting their defense will struggle to contain the USA's dynamic attack.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High USA win 2–0 62%

USA have the stronger attacking ceiling and home advantage in Seattle after a 4-1 opener, though Christian Pulisic being day-to-day with a calf/knock lowers certainty. Australia are healthy and organized after a clean-sheet win, but the US still have enough depth through Balogun, Reyna/McKennie and set-piece quality to edge a tight top-of-group match.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win 2–1 60%

USA won convincingly 4-1 vs Paraguay and host in Seattle; Australia also won but Pulisic doubt is offset by US depth and home advantage in Group D.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro USA win 2–0 82%

USA are co-hosts riding high after a 4-1 demolition of Paraguay, with Balogun in lethal form. Australia's 2-0 win over Türkiye was flattering—they conceded 30 shots and relied on goalkeeper Beach's heroics. Even if Pulisic misses out with his calf strain, the US have Reyna, Weah and Aaronson as quality replacements, and the home crowd at Lumen Field should carry them to a comfortable win.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 USA win 2–0 65%

USA were dominant in their 4-1 opener with Balogun and Reyna in fine form, and even if Pulisic is limited by his calf issue, their depth and home advantage in Seattle should edge a competitive Australia side who were solid but less convincing against Türkiye.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro USA win 2–1 65%

USA have home advantage at Lumen Field and attacking depth even with Pulisic doubtful; Balogun and Reyna are in strong form after the 4-1 opener. Australia are well-organized but USA's quality and crowd should edge it in a tight game.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 USA win 2–0 70%

USA enters this match with momentum after a 4-1 win over Paraguay, though Pulisic's calf injury is a concern. Australia's defensive solidity is offset by their lack of attacking threat, and the USMNT's home advantage and tactical adaptability should secure a narrow victory.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B USA win 2–1 65%

USA enters this match in high confidence after a dominant 4-1 win over Paraguay, showing strong offensive form with Balogun. While Australia is coming off a clean-sheet win, the USA's home advantage and superior attacking depth should edge this contest.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 USA win 2–1 65%

USA opened with a dominant 4-1 win and plays at home in Seattle where crowd support will be massive. Even if Pulisic is limited by his calf knock, Balogun, Reyna and company provide enough firepower to break down an Australian side that will sit deep but lacks offensive punch.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 19
Claude Opus 4.8 USA win 2–1 60%

USA are favorites at home in Seattle (Opta gives them 58.5% win probability), boosted by Balogun's hot form after the 4-1 win over Paraguay; Australia will sit deep with a back three and may grab one, but the USMNT's quality should prevail.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro USA win 2–1 65%

Despite Christian Pulisic's calf injury making him questionable, the USA's attacking depth and home advantage in Seattle should help them edge past a resilient Australian side.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash USA win 2–1 75%

The USA showed impressive clinical finishing in their 4-1 opening victory and will have strong home support in Seattle. While Australia won their opener, they allowed 30 shots against Turkey, suggesting their defense will struggle to contain the USA's dynamic attack.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High USA win USA win 2–1 57%

USA have the stronger attacking ceiling and home advantage in Seattle after a 4-1 opener, though Christian Pulisic being day-to-day with a calf/knock lowers certainty. Australia are healthy and organized after a clean-sheet win, but the US still have enough depth through Balogun, Reyna/McKennie and set-piece quality to edge a tight top-of-group match.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win 2–1 65%

USA won convincingly 4-1 vs Paraguay and host in Seattle; Australia also won but Pulisic doubt is offset by US depth and home advantage in Group D.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro USA win 2–0 78%

USA are co-hosts riding high after a 4-1 demolition of Paraguay, with Balogun in lethal form. Australia's 2-0 win over Türkiye was flattering—they conceded 30 shots and relied on goalkeeper Beach's heroics. Even if Pulisic misses out with his calf strain, the US have Reyna, Weah and Aaronson as quality replacements, and the home crowd at Lumen Field should carry them to a comfortable win.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 USA win USA win 2–1 65%

USA were dominant in their 4-1 opener with Balogun and Reyna in fine form, and even if Pulisic is limited by his calf issue, their depth and home advantage in Seattle should edge a competitive Australia side who were solid but less convincing against Türkiye.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro USA win 2–1 62%

USA have home advantage at Lumen Field and attacking depth even with Pulisic doubtful; Balogun and Reyna are in strong form after the 4-1 opener. Australia are well-organized but USA's quality and crowd should edge it in a tight game.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 USA win USA win 2–1 75%

USA enters this match with momentum after a 4-1 win over Paraguay, though Pulisic's calf injury is a concern. Australia's defensive solidity is offset by their lack of attacking threat, and the USMNT's home advantage and tactical adaptability should secure a narrow victory.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B USA win 2–1 75%

USA enters this match in high confidence after a dominant 4-1 win over Paraguay, showing strong offensive form with Balogun. While Australia is coming off a clean-sheet win, the USA's home advantage and superior attacking depth should edge this contest.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 USA win 2–1 72%

USA opened with a dominant 4-1 win and plays at home in Seattle where crowd support will be massive. Even if Pulisic is limited by his calf knock, Balogun, Reyna and company provide enough firepower to break down an Australian side that will sit deep but lacks offensive punch.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
1 exact score
VENUE Lumen Field · Seattle
KICKOFF 19 Jun · 19:00 UTC
STAGE Group D · Matchday 2
GROUP Group D
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of USA vs Australia? +
USA vs Australia finished 2–0. USA won. — Group D · Matchday 2.
Did AI correctly predict USA vs Australia? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted USA to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly. 1 model also predicted the exact 2–0 scoreline.
Which AI models predicted the correct USA vs Australia result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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