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Group D · Matchday 3 · 26 Jun · 02:00 UTC

Türkiye vs USA

Türkiye flag TUR
3–2 FINAL SCORE
USA USA flag

USA strong favorites — 10 of 11 models back them.

FULL TIME SoFi Stadium · Inglewood
TUR
3.45
Draw
3.85
USA
1.92
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
3–2
1 of 11 AI models predicted Türkiye correctly

1 of 11 AI models predict Türkiye to win against USA (Group D · Matchday 3) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 26 Jun · 02:00 UTC — SoFi Stadium · Inglewood.

USA are the AI consensus pick with 10 of 11 models in agreement. 1 model back Türkiye, 10 favour USA. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 0–2.

This fixture is part of Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
1 TUR · 9% 0 DRAW · 0% 10 USA · 91%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
0–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
73%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 USA win 1–2 50%

Türkiye are mathematically eliminated and were wasteful in two losses, while the USA—though already topping the group—are not easing up per Pochettino, with Pulisic available and a deep, motivated squad. The USA's quality edge should prevail even with some rotation.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw 1–1 70%

USA has dominated Group D and should comfortably beat a struggling Türkiye side, even if they rotate their squad with Pulisic recovering from a calf issue.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw 1–1 60%

Although the USA has already secured first place and is expected to rotate heavily, their squad depth and overall quality remain superior to a struggling Turkish side that has failed to score or win in their first two matches.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw 1–1 42%

The USA have already clinched the group and may rotate, but they still have far better attacking depth and Christian Pulisic is back in training, while Türkiye are eliminated and have not scored in the tournament. Even with minutes managed for key players on yellows, the U.S. should have enough control to win.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win 1–2 55%

USA are in strong form with 6pts already secured and Pulisic expected to be fit; Türkiye are eliminated with 0pts and poor recent results.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw 1–1 60%

Türkiye are already eliminated, have scored 0 goals from 62 shots across two losses, and are demoralized. USA have clinched the group but will heavily rotate — resting four yellow-card players and nursing injuries — yet their B-team (Pepi, Reyna, Weah, Wright, Aaronson) still has far more quality and momentum, plus home advantage at SoFi Stadium.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw 1–1 45%

Türkiye is already eliminated with zero points and zero goals, described as demoralized and one of the tournament's biggest disappointments. USA has secured top spot and may rotate, but their squad depth and Türkiye's collapsed morale should see the Americans win comfortably even with a rotated lineup.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw 1–1 45%

USA have already clinched Group D and Pochettino will rotate heavily, but even a second-string USA side has significantly more quality than a Turkey team that has failed to score across 62 shots in two matches and are already eliminated with 0 points. Turkey's morale is shattered and the US depth should comfortably prevail in this dead rubber.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 TUR win 2–1 72%

The USA has already secured top spot in Group D and will rotate key players (Adams, Richards, Robinson, Balogun) due to yellow cards. Türkiye, eliminated and demoralized, has underperformed offensively despite 62 shots in two games. The USMNT's depth and home advantage in Los Angeles should see them through, even with a rotated squad.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B TUR win 1–0 60%

USA is in dominant form with two wins and 6 points, while Türkiye has yet to score or earn a point. The return of Christian Pulisic to full training further strengthens the USMNT's attacking threat.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 Draw 1–1 50%

USA have already won the group and will rotate, but their squad depth and home support at SoFi Stadium should still see them past an eliminated Turkey side that is due to score after 62 barren shots. The betting market prices both teams to score and USA to win, making 2-1 the most probable exact score.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 25
Claude Opus 4.8 USA win USA win 0–2 60%

Türkiye are mathematically eliminated and were wasteful in two losses, while the USA—though already topping the group—are not easing up per Pochettino, with Pulisic available and a deep, motivated squad. The USA's quality edge should prevail even with some rotation.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw USA win 0–2 80%

USA has dominated Group D and should comfortably beat a struggling Türkiye side, even if they rotate their squad with Pulisic recovering from a calf issue.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw USA win 1–2 75%

Although the USA has already secured first place and is expected to rotate heavily, their squad depth and overall quality remain superior to a struggling Turkish side that has failed to score or win in their first two matches.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw USA win 0–2 68%

The USA have already clinched the group and may rotate, but they still have far better attacking depth and Christian Pulisic is back in training, while Türkiye are eliminated and have not scored in the tournament. Even with minutes managed for key players on yellows, the U.S. should have enough control to win.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 USA win 1–2 75%

USA are in strong form with 6pts already secured and Pulisic expected to be fit; Türkiye are eliminated with 0pts and poor recent results.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw USA win 0–2 78%

Türkiye are already eliminated, have scored 0 goals from 62 shots across two losses, and are demoralized. USA have clinched the group but will heavily rotate — resting four yellow-card players and nursing injuries — yet their B-team (Pepi, Reyna, Weah, Wright, Aaronson) still has far more quality and momentum, plus home advantage at SoFi Stadium.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw USA win 0–2 72%

Türkiye is already eliminated with zero points and zero goals, described as demoralized and one of the tournament's biggest disappointments. USA has secured top spot and may rotate, but their squad depth and Türkiye's collapsed morale should see the Americans win comfortably even with a rotated lineup.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw USA win 0–3 72%

USA have already clinched Group D and Pochettino will rotate heavily, but even a second-string USA side has significantly more quality than a Turkey team that has failed to score across 62 shots in two matches and are already eliminated with 0 points. Turkey's morale is shattered and the US depth should comfortably prevail in this dead rubber.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 TUR win 2–1 75%

The USA has already secured top spot in Group D and will rotate key players (Adams, Richards, Robinson, Balogun) due to yellow cards. Türkiye, eliminated and demoralized, has underperformed offensively despite 62 shots in two games. The USMNT's depth and home advantage in Los Angeles should see them through, even with a rotated squad.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B TUR win USA win 0–2 85%

USA is in dominant form with two wins and 6 points, while Türkiye has yet to score or earn a point. The return of Christian Pulisic to full training further strengthens the USMNT's attacking threat.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 Draw USA win 1–2 60%

USA have already won the group and will rotate, but their squad depth and home support at SoFi Stadium should still see them past an eliminated Turkey side that is due to score after 62 barren shots. The betting market prices both teams to score and USA to win, making 2-1 the most probable exact score.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

1/11 correct
9%
1 of 11 models correct
VENUE SoFi Stadium · Inglewood
KICKOFF 26 Jun · 02:00 UTC
STAGE Group D · Matchday 3
GROUP Group D
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Türkiye vs USA? +
Türkiye vs USA finished 3–2. Türkiye won. — Group D · Matchday 3.
Did AI correctly predict Türkiye vs USA? +
1 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Türkiye to win. Most AI models were wrong on this occasion.
Which AI models predicted the correct Türkiye vs USA result? +
Mistral Large 3.
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