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Group I · Matchday 3 · 26 Jun · 19:00 UTC

Senegal vs Iraq

Senegal flag SEN
5–0 FINAL SCORE
IRQ Iraq flag

Senegal picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME BMO Field · Toronto
SEN
1.24
Draw
5.60
IRQ
11.50
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
5–0
11 of 11 AI models predicted Senegal correctly

11 of 11 AI models predict Senegal to win against Iraq (Group I · Matchday 3) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 26 Jun · 19:00 UTC — BMO Field · Toronto.

All 11 frontier AI models — including Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, and Grok — unanimously predict a Senegal victory.

This fixture is part of Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
11 SEN · 100% 0 DRAW · 0% 0 IRQ · 0%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
2–0
AVG CONFIDENCE
78%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 SEN win 2–0 68%

Senegal must win convincingly to keep their slim third-place qualification hopes alive, providing strong motivation, and despite defensive lapses they have far superior individual quality against an Iraq side that has scored just once in two heavy defeats.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro SEN win 2–0 85%

Senegal has shown more attacking threat against top teams and will be highly motivated to secure a win for a chance to advance as a third-placed team, while Iraq has struggled defensively.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash SEN win 2–0 80%

Senegal are far superior to Iraq and need a convincing win to secure qualification to the Round of 32 as one of the best third-placed teams.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High SEN win 2–0 70%

Senegal have lost twice but still carry far more attacking quality and must chase a convincing win, while Iraq have conceded seven goals in two matches. Recent team news confirms Edouard Mendy is out for Senegal, but Iraq striker Aymen Hussein is doubtful, which weakens their best route to an upset.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 SEN win 2–0 75%

Senegal needs points to avoid last place and has shown attacking threat despite losses; Iraq has conceded heavily in all games and offers little motivation with 0 points.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro SEN win 2–0 85%

Senegal's superior quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) should overwhelm an Iraq side that has conceded 7 goals in 2 games. Iraq's top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring issue, while Senegal still have a slim path to the Round of 32 as a best 3rd-placed team with a big win.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 SEN win 2–0 72%

Both teams are eliminated with 0 points, but Senegal possess far superior individual quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) and pushed Norway close (2-3), while Iraq have been outclassed in both matches conceding seven goals; Senegal should win comfortably even without injured GK Mendy.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro SEN win 2–0 82%

Senegal are far superior on paper despite both teams having 0 points; Iraq have scored just 1 goal and conceded 7, and top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Senegal will be desperate for a convincing win to boost their third-place qualification hopes, and players like Mané and Sarr should dominate an outmatched Iraqi side.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 SEN win 2–1 75%

Senegal are more motivated to avoid elimination and have superior individual quality, especially with Nicolas Jackson and Sadio Mané leading the attack. Iraq’s defensive frailties and lack of clean sheets in recent matches make them vulnerable.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B SEN win 1–0 65%

Senegal is significantly stronger than Iraq, who have lost both group games. Despite their poor start, Senegal's individual quality should prevail against an Iraq side that has struggled to score.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 SEN win 2–0 80%

Senegal must win to keep faint last-16 hopes alive and faces an Iraq side missing its only scorer Aymen Hussein, while the Lions' attacking trio of Mané, Sarr and Jackson should exploit a fragile Iraqi defence.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 26
Claude Opus 4.8 SEN win 2–0 68%

Senegal must win convincingly to keep their slim third-place qualification hopes alive, providing strong motivation, and despite defensive lapses they have far superior individual quality against an Iraq side that has scored just once in two heavy defeats.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro SEN win 2–0 80%

Senegal has shown more attacking threat against top teams and will be highly motivated to secure a win for a chance to advance as a third-placed team, while Iraq has struggled defensively.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash SEN win SEN win 3–0 85%

Senegal are far superior to Iraq and need a convincing win to secure qualification to the Round of 32 as one of the best third-placed teams.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High SEN win SEN win 3–1 66%

Senegal have lost twice but still carry far more attacking quality and must chase a convincing win, while Iraq have conceded seven goals in two matches. Recent team news confirms Edouard Mendy is out for Senegal, but Iraq striker Aymen Hussein is doubtful, which weakens their best route to an upset.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 SEN win 2–0 75%

Senegal needs points to avoid last place and has shown attacking threat despite losses; Iraq has conceded heavily in all games and offers little motivation with 0 points.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro SEN win SEN win 3–0 88%

Senegal's superior quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) should overwhelm an Iraq side that has conceded 7 goals in 2 games. Iraq's top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring issue, while Senegal still have a slim path to the Round of 32 as a best 3rd-placed team with a big win.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 SEN win 2–0 75%

Both teams are eliminated with 0 points, but Senegal possess far superior individual quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) and pushed Norway close (2-3), while Iraq have been outclassed in both matches conceding seven goals; Senegal should win comfortably even without injured GK Mendy.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro SEN win SEN win 3–1 85%

Senegal are far superior on paper despite both teams having 0 points; Iraq have scored just 1 goal and conceded 7, and top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Senegal will be desperate for a convincing win to boost their third-place qualification hopes, and players like Mané and Sarr should dominate an outmatched Iraqi side.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 SEN win 2–1 75%

Senegal are more motivated to avoid elimination and have superior individual quality, especially with Nicolas Jackson and Sadio Mané leading the attack. Iraq’s defensive frailties and lack of clean sheets in recent matches make them vulnerable.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B SEN win SEN win 2–0 85%

Senegal is significantly stronger than Iraq, who have lost both group games. Despite their poor start, Senegal's individual quality should prevail against an Iraq side that has struggled to score.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 SEN win 2–0 78%

Senegal must win to keep faint last-16 hopes alive and faces an Iraq side missing its only scorer Aymen Hussein, while the Lions' attacking trio of Mané, Sarr and Jackson should exploit a fragile Iraqi defence.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
VENUE BMO Field · Toronto
KICKOFF 26 Jun · 19:00 UTC
STAGE Group I · Matchday 3
GROUP Group I
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Senegal vs Iraq? +
Senegal vs Iraq finished 5–0. Senegal won. — Group I · Matchday 3.
Did AI correctly predict Senegal vs Iraq? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Senegal to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct Senegal vs Iraq result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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