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Next match in
Round of 16 · 6 Jul · 01:00 UTC

Mexico vs England

Mexico flag MEX
2–3 FINAL SCORE
ENG England flag

England strong favorites — 7 of 11 models back them.

FULL TIME Estadio Banorte · Mexico City
MEX
3.00
Draw
3.15
ENG
2.40
Bookmaker odds · 90 min · draw = 90 min result
FULL TIME
2–3
7 of 11 AI models predicted England correctly

4 of 11 AI models predict Mexico to win against England (Round of 16) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 6 Jul · 01:00 UTC — Estadio Banorte · Mexico City.

England are the AI consensus pick with 5 of 11 models in agreement. 4 models back Mexico, 2 predict a draw, 5 favour England. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 1–2.

This is a Round of 16 fixture at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

90-Minute Result

11 models
4 MEX · 36% 2 DRAW · 18% 5 ENG · 45%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
1–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
63%

Who Advances

36%
Mexico advances
4 models
64%
England advances
7 models
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jul 3
Claude Opus 4.8 ENG win 1–2 55%

Mexico are rampant at the Azteca and altitude is a real threat, but England's superior squad depth and Kane's clinical knockout form (four goals) should edge a tight contest despite missing James and Quansah.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw → ENG 1–1 60%

Mexico has been defensively flawless so far, but England's attack led by Harry Kane will be their toughest test. Despite England's injury crisis at right-back, their overall squad depth should help them edge past Mexico after a tight 90 minutes.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw → MEX 1–1 65%

Mexico has home-field advantage at the Estadio Azteca and a perfect defensive record in the group stage, which should help them hold a strong England side to a draw before advancing in extra time or penalties.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw → MEX 1–1 53%

Mexico have been flawless so far, still yet to concede, and the Azteca altitude plus home crowd make this a uniquely difficult assignment for England. England’s match-winners keep them level over 90 minutes, but with Reece James and Jarell Quansah still injury concerns, Mexico are a narrow pick to advance after extra time or penalties.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 ENG win 1–2 70%

England's attacking quality (Kane, Bellingham) edges Mexico's organized counter-attacks despite English injury list; narrow away win likely.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw → MEX 1–1 67%

Mexico at Estadio Azteca are a different beast: 4 wins, 0 goals conceded all tournament, unbeaten in 10 World Cup games at this stadium (70W-17D-2L all-time competitive record). England needed late Kane heroics to edge past DR Congo and are missing both natural right-backs (James, Quansah). Altitude and crowd carry Mexico through after extra time.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw → MEX 1–1 55%

Mexico's Estadio Azteca fortress record (70 wins in 89 competitive matches) and impenetrable defense (4 clean sheets this tournament) neutralize England's individual quality. England's right-back crisis (James and Quansah injured) and unconvincing R32 performance vs Congo DR suggest they'll struggle at altitude, with Mexico's home support and defensive grit ultimately prevailing in extra time or penalties.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro MEX win 1–0 58%

Mexico have not conceded a single goal in 4 matches and the Estadio Azteca provides the most intense home advantage in football. Quiñones and Jimenez are clinical. England have quality with Kane and Bellingham but missing Reece James and Quansah, and the hostile atmosphere will be a severe test.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 Draw → ENG 1–1 70%

Mexico are strong at home and have a solid defensive structure, but England's depth and attacking talent, despite injuries, will likely see them advance after extra time or penalties. England's squad is still formidable even without Reece James and Jarrell Quansah.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B ENG win 1–2 75%

Mexico has momentum and home-field advantage, but England's squad quality and Harry Kane's current scoring form give them the edge in a tight contest.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 MEX win 2–1 70%

Mexico has won all four matches without conceding a single goal, with Jiménez and Quiñones in excellent form; England needed late Kane heroics to edge DR Congo and has defensive injury concerns, while Mexico enjoys fortress-like home advantage at the Azteca.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jul 5
Claude Opus 4.8 ENG win 1–2 52%

Mexico's flawless tournament form and the 7,000ft Azteca altitude (which Tuchel admits England can't adapt to) make this a genuine toss-up, but England's superior individual quality with Kane in scoring form, Bellingham and returning Saka/Gordon should just about see them through in a close contest.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw → ENG 1–1 65%

Mexico has been defensively flawless, keeping four consecutive clean sheets, which will frustrate an England side dealing with defensive injuries. Expect a tight 1-1 draw in regulation before England's depth helps them edge through in extra time or penalties.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw → MEX ENG win 1–2 70%

England's attacking depth with Harry Kane in clinical form and the return of key wingers will give them the edge over a disciplined Mexico side playing in front of a passionate crowd.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw → MEX MEX win 1–0 55%

Mexico arrive unbeaten with four straight wins and no goals conceded, plus a major Azteca altitude/home-crowd advantage and no serious injury issues reported. England still have Kane’s finishing threat, but their right-back injuries and recent struggle against Congo make this a difficult matchup in Mexico City.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 ENG win 1–2 70%

England's clinical attack led by Kane and fit Rice edges Mexico's home advantage and strong group form in a tight knockout clash.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw → MEX MEX win 1–0 65%

Mexico's four consecutive clean sheets and unbeaten World Cup record at the Azteca (8W-2D-0L) are decisive. The 2,240m altitude is a huge disadvantage for England — Tuchel admitted they cannot acclimatize in four days — and with James, Quansah, and Rice all carrying injuries, England's shaky defense will finally crack against Mexico's disciplined, crowd-fueled counter-attacking setup.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw → ENG 1–1 52%

Mexico's extraordinary defensive record (4 clean sheets, 0 goals conceded) and the formidable Azteca altitude (2,240m)—where they've never lost a World Cup match (W8 D2)—make this extremely tight. England's superior individual quality (Kane with 5 goals, Bellingham) should eventually break through, but the altitude and Mexico's home fortress will likely force extra time before England's depth sees them advance.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro MEX win MEX win 2–1 58%

Mexico at the Estadio Azteca at 2,240m altitude is a fortress — they won all group games and cruised past Ecuador 2-0 in R32 with no injuries. England were unconvincing against DR Congo, needed a late Kane rescue, and face significant absentees (Reece James hamstring, Quansah only just back). The altitude and 70,000+ home fans will severely test England's fitness and composure, tipping a tight contest Mexico's way.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 Draw → ENG ENG win 0–1 80%

England have shown resilience in knockout stages despite injury concerns, and their tactical flexibility under Tuchel should edge out Mexico. Mexico's lack of attacking cutting edge and England's defensive solidity make this a tight but winnable game for the Three Lions.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B ENG win 1–2 65%

England's Harry Kane is in world-class form, scoring heavily in the previous rounds. Despite defensive injuries to James and Quansah, England's tactical discipline and Kane's current streak should outweigh Mexico's home-continent momentum.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 MEX win 2–1 62%

Mexico has been flawless with 4 wins and 0 goals conceded, plus the formidable Estadio Azteca home advantage and altitude. England's defensive frailties and shaky Round of 32 performance against DR Congo tip this to the hosts.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

7/11 correct
64%
7 of 11 models correct
VENUE Estadio Banorte · Mexico City
KICKOFF 6 Jul · 01:00 UTC
STAGE Round of 16
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Mexico vs England? +
Mexico vs England finished 2–3. England won. — Round of 16.
Did AI correctly predict Mexico vs England? +
7 of 11 AI models correctly predicted England to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct Mexico vs England result? +
Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Gemini 3.5 Flash, Grok 4.3, GLM-5.1, Mistral Large 3, Gemma 4 31B.
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