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Next match in
Round of 16 · 4 Jul · 17:00 UTC

Canada vs Morocco

Canada flag CAN
0–3 FINAL SCORE
MAR Morocco flag

Morocco picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME NRG Stadium · Houston
CAN
4.40
Draw
3.35
MAR
1.84
Bookmaker odds · 90 min · draw = 90 min result
FULL TIME
0–3
11 of 11 AI models predicted Morocco correctly

0 of 11 AI models predict Canada to win against Morocco (Round of 16) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 4 Jul · 17:00 UTC — NRG Stadium · Houston.

Morocco are the AI consensus pick with 10 of 11 models in agreement. 0 models back Canada, 1 predict a draw, 10 favour Morocco. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 1–2.

This is a Round of 16 fixture at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

90-Minute Result

11 models
0 CAN · 0% 1 DRAW · 9% 10 MAR · 91%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
1–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
68%

Who Advances

0%
Canada advances
0 models
100%
Morocco advances
11 models
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 30
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw → MAR 1–1 58%

Morocco are the stronger, deeper side — they topped a brutal group with Brazil and eliminated the Netherlands, with Saibari, Hakimi and Bono all in form. Canada are buoyed by Davies' return and a fresher 90-minute win over South Africa, but they're a clear step below Morocco's quality. Morocco's 120-minute shootout battle leaves only four days' rest, so I expect a tight, low-scoring game that Morocco ultimately wins, likely needing extra time or penalties.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw → MAR 1–1 60%

Morocco has impressed against top opposition but comes off a grueling 120-minute match against the Netherlands. Canada has a significant rest advantage and Alphonso Davies back, making a tight draw likely before Morocco's superior quality sees them through.

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Gemini 3.5 Flash MAR win 1–2 75%

Morocco enters the Round of 16 as the clear favorite after an impressive undefeated run that includes draws against Brazil and the Netherlands. Despite Canada having a rest advantage, Morocco's superior squad depth, tactical organization, and the form of key players like Ismael Saibari should carry them to a 2-1 victory in 90 minutes.

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GPT-5.5 High MAR win 1–2 61%

Canada are organized and get a boost from Alphonso Davies' return, but his fitness is still being managed and Ismaël Koné's absence weakens midfield depth. Morocco have been the more proven side against elite opposition, are unbeaten, and with Bono, Hakimi and Saibari in form they have enough quality to edge a tight knockout match despite the shorter recovery after extra time.

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Grok 4.3 MAR win 1–2 62%

Morocco's defensive organization and experience in knockout stages (recent penalty win over Netherlands) edges out motivated hosts Canada, who lack depth despite strong group form.

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DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw → MAR 1–1 58%

Morocco are the superior side (6th vs 30th in FIFA rankings) and just eliminated the Netherlands, but carry heavy legs from 120 minutes played only four days ago. Canada have six days' rest, a fitter Alphonso Davies returning, and home-continent backing, which should be enough to force extra time. Morocco's big-game experience and Bounou's penalty-saving pedigree ultimately see them through.

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GLM-5.1 Draw → MAR 1–1 58%

Morocco's superior quality and knockout pedigree should prevail despite fatigue from their 120-minute penalty shootout win over Netherlands just 4 days prior. Canada benefits from extra rest and Davies' return but misses Koné in midfield. Morocco's disciplined defensive structure under Regragui and counter-attacking threat (Saibari, Hakimi, Diaz) should neutralize Canada's attack, with the Atlas Lions' proven penalty shootout pedigree giving them the edge if it goes the distance.

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MiMo v2.5-Pro MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco's superior squad quality and tournament experience, including a gritty penalty win over Netherlands, should edge out Canada who lost key midfielder Koné to a broken leg. Morocco's H2H dominance and attacking firepower of Saibari, Diaz, and Hakimi give them the advantage despite Canada's home support in Houston.

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Mistral Large 3 MAR win 1–2 75%

Canada showed resilience in the group stage but struggled against stronger defensive teams like Switzerland, where their lack of clinical finishing was exposed. Morocco, meanwhile, have been solid defensively and possess the quality in attack and midfield to exploit Canada's high defensive line. Morocco's experience in high-pressure knockout games and their tactical discipline under Walid Regragui give them the edge, especially with key players like Achraf Hakimi and Azzedine Ounahi controlling the game. Canada's fatigue from traveling and their defensive vulnerabilities will likely be their downfall.

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Gemma 4 31B MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco enters this match with significant momentum after a grueling victory over the Netherlands in the Round of 32. While Canada has shown offensive potency (scoring 6 against Qatar), Morocco's tactical discipline and recent success in high-pressure knockout scenarios give them the edge.

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Kimi K2.6 MAR win 1–2 68%

Morocco are the higher-ranked side and heavy favourites to advance after knocking out the Netherlands, while Canada needed stoppage time to beat South Africa and remains defensively vulnerable even with Alphonso Davies returning from injury; the Atlas Lions' quality and knockout pedigree should prevail in 90 minutes.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jul 4
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw → MAR MAR win 1–2 60%

Morocco arrive injury-free and in strong form after edging the Netherlands, while Canada lost Koné to a broken leg and Jones, with Davies only just returning to fitness — Morocco's cohesion and attacking depth (Saibari, Hakimi) give them the edge.

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw → MAR MAR win 0–2 75%

Morocco has looked formidable, eliminating the Netherlands, while Canada will struggle without key midfielder Ismaël Koné who is out with a broken leg.

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Gemini 3.5 Flash MAR win 1–2 75%

Morocco has shown incredible resilience and tactical discipline, advancing past the Netherlands in the previous round, while Canada continues to miss key midfielder Ismaël Koné due to injury.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High MAR win Draw → MAR 1–1 52%

Canada have had extra rest and enough defensive structure to keep this close, but they are missing Ismael Kone while Morocco arrive unbeaten and with stronger individual quality in Hakimi, Bono and Saibari. Morocco may need extra time or penalties again, but their knockout resilience gives them the edge to advance.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco's strong recent form (DWW) and defensive resilience edge out Canada despite the latter's attacking threat.

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DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw → MAR MAR win 0–2 78%

Morocco are full-strength with Saibari (3 goals) in red-hot form under new coach Ouahbi's possession system, while Canada miss Koné (broken leg) and have never beaten Morocco in four attempts. The Atlas Lions' extra quality and knockout experience from 2022 should prove decisive.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw → MAR MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco are at near full strength with Saibari in superb form (3 goals, key vs Netherlands), while Canada miss Koné (broken leg) and Davies is unlikely to start after only a 75th-min sub appearance. Morocco's penalty shootout resilience and superior individual quality (Hakimi, Mazraoui, Brahim Diaz) should edge a Canada side that needed a 90th-minute goal to beat South Africa.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco have a near-full squad with Ismael Saibari in superb form (4 goals) and showed mental toughness beating Netherlands on penalties. Canada are missing Ismael Koné (broken ankle) and Alphonso Davies is only just returning to fitness; Morocco's superior attacking quality should edge this.

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Mistral Large 3 MAR win MAR win 0–2 80%

Morocco have shown strong form in the tournament and possess a more experienced squad. Canada are missing key midfielder Ismael Kone due to injury, which weakens their midfield. Morocco's attacking prowess and defensive solidity make them favorites to advance.

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Gemma 4 31B MAR win 1–2 65%

Morocco has shown great resilience and tactical discipline, recently knocking out the Netherlands. Canada is missing Ismael Kone and has struggled for consistency despite a strong win over Qatar.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 MAR win MAR win 0–1 72%

Morocco's unbeaten tournament run and pedigree as AFCON champions and 2022 semifinalists gives them the edge over World Cup debutants Canada, even with Alphonso Davies potentially returning.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
VENUE NRG Stadium · Houston
KICKOFF 4 Jul · 17:00 UTC
STAGE Round of 16
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Morocco? +
Canada vs Morocco finished 0–3. Morocco won. — Round of 16.
Did AI correctly predict Canada vs Morocco? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Morocco to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct Canada vs Morocco result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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