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Group G · Matchday 3 · 27 Jun · 03:00 UTC

New Zealand vs Belgium

New Zealand flag NZL
1–5 FINAL SCORE
BEL Belgium flag

Belgium picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME BC Place · Vancouver
NZL
12.50
Draw
7.10
BEL
1.18
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
1–5
11 of 11 AI models predicted Belgium correctly

0 of 11 AI models predict New Zealand to win against Belgium (Group G · Matchday 3) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 27 Jun · 03:00 UTC — BC Place · Vancouver.

All 11 frontier AI models — including Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, and Grok — unanimously predict a Belgium victory.

This fixture is part of Group G at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
0 NZL · 0% 0 DRAW · 0% 11 BEL · 100%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
0–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
78%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 BEL win 0–2 62%

Belgium have a clear quality edge (Courtois, De Bruyne, Lukaku, Tielemans, Doku potentially back) and must win to advance, while New Zealand are the group's weakest side; only Ngoy is suspended for Belgium.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro BEL win 0–3 85%

Belgium has struggled in front of goal so far, but they possess vastly superior quality. Facing a New Zealand defense that has already conceded five goals, the Red Devils should secure the victory they need to advance.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash BEL win 0–3 85%

Belgium desperately needs a win to guarantee qualification, and their superior quality should comfortably overcome a New Zealand side that has struggled defensively.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High BEL win 0–2 68%

Belgium have underperformed with two draws but still carry far more attacking quality, and New Zealand’s defence looked vulnerable against Egypt. Ngoy is suspended and Debast/Doku concerns reduce Belgium’s margin, but with qualification likely requiring a win, De Bruyne and Lukaku should have enough.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 BEL win 0–3 90%

Belgium remain far superior despite listed injuries; New Zealand have zero prior World Cup wins and face a must-win Belgium side still pushing for qualification.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro BEL win 0–3 88%

Belgium have been profligate (1 goal from 69 shots across two tournaments) but face a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup match in eight attempts and has conceded five goals in two group games. Doku is back in camp, De Bruyne and Lukaku are due a breakthrough, and Belgium are unbeaten in 15 matches overall. NZ's Chris Wood will play but Belgium's superior quality — even with Ngoy suspended — should finally translate into a comfortable, must-win victory.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 BEL win 0–3 75%

Belgium's 15-match unbeaten run and vastly superior squad depth should overcome New Zealand, who have never won a World Cup match; despite Belgium's scoring drought and absences (Ngoy suspended, Debast injured, Doku ill), De Bruyne and Lukaku have too much quality for the All Whites' defense.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro BEL win 0–3 78%

Belgium's desperation to qualify combined with vastly superior quality (De Bruyne, Trossard, Lukaku, and Doku's potential return from illness) should overwhelm New Zealand, who have never won at a World Cup finals and have conceded 5 goals in 2 group games. Belgium's profligacy is a concern but 69 shots since their last WC goal suggests a breakout is overdue against the group's weakest side.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 NZL win 3–0 85%

Belgium, despite injuries and illness, remains a superior side with world-class talent like De Bruyne and Lukaku. New Zealand's lack of depth and experience in high-stakes matches will likely see them outclassed.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B NZL win 3–0 80%

Belgium is desperate for points after two draws and needs a win to ensure progression. While New Zealand has shown spirit, Belgium's superior quality and the need for a result make them strong favorites.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 BEL win 0–3 80%

The Opta supercomputer gives Belgium an 80.3% win chance and they hold a massive quality advantage over a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup finals match; the Red Devils should finally convert their dominance into a comfortable victory.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 26
Claude Opus 4.8 BEL win 0–2 64%

Belgium have a clear quality edge (Courtois, De Bruyne, Lukaku, Tielemans, Doku potentially back) and must win to advance, while New Zealand are the group's weakest side; only Ngoy is suspended for Belgium.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro BEL win BEL win 0–2 85%

Belgium has struggled in front of goal so far, but they possess vastly superior quality. Facing a New Zealand defense that has already conceded five goals, the Red Devils should secure the victory they need to advance.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash BEL win BEL win 0–2 80%

Belgium desperately needs a win to guarantee qualification, and their superior quality should comfortably overcome a New Zealand side that has struggled defensively.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High BEL win 0–2 69%

Belgium have underperformed with two draws but still carry far more attacking quality, and New Zealand’s defence looked vulnerable against Egypt. Ngoy is suspended and Debast/Doku concerns reduce Belgium’s margin, but with qualification likely requiring a win, De Bruyne and Lukaku should have enough.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 BEL win BEL win 0–2 80%

Belgium remain far superior despite listed injuries; New Zealand have zero prior World Cup wins and face a must-win Belgium side still pushing for qualification.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro BEL win BEL win 0–2 82%

Belgium have been profligate (1 goal from 69 shots across two tournaments) but face a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup match in eight attempts and has conceded five goals in two group games. Doku is back in camp, De Bruyne and Lukaku are due a breakthrough, and Belgium are unbeaten in 15 matches overall. NZ's Chris Wood will play but Belgium's superior quality — even with Ngoy suspended — should finally translate into a comfortable, must-win victory.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 BEL win BEL win 0–2 72%

Belgium's 15-match unbeaten run and vastly superior squad depth should overcome New Zealand, who have never won a World Cup match; despite Belgium's scoring drought and absences (Ngoy suspended, Debast injured, Doku ill), De Bruyne and Lukaku have too much quality for the All Whites' defense.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro BEL win 0–3 80%

Belgium's desperation to qualify combined with vastly superior quality (De Bruyne, Trossard, Lukaku, and Doku's potential return from illness) should overwhelm New Zealand, who have never won at a World Cup finals and have conceded 5 goals in 2 group games. Belgium's profligacy is a concern but 69 shots since their last WC goal suggests a breakout is overdue against the group's weakest side.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 NZL win BEL win 0–3 85%

Belgium, despite injuries and illness, remains a superior side with world-class talent like De Bruyne and Lukaku. New Zealand's lack of depth and experience in high-stakes matches will likely see them outclassed.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B NZL win BEL win 0–2 75%

Belgium is desperate for points after two draws and needs a win to ensure progression. While New Zealand has shown spirit, Belgium's superior quality and the need for a result make them strong favorites.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 BEL win BEL win 0–2 85%

The Opta supercomputer gives Belgium an 80.3% win chance and they hold a massive quality advantage over a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup finals match; the Red Devils should finally convert their dominance into a comfortable victory.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
VENUE BC Place · Vancouver
KICKOFF 27 Jun · 03:00 UTC
STAGE Group G · Matchday 3
GROUP Group G
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of New Zealand vs Belgium? +
New Zealand vs Belgium finished 1–5. Belgium won. — Group G · Matchday 3.
Did AI correctly predict New Zealand vs Belgium? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Belgium to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct New Zealand vs Belgium result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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