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Group F · Matchday 2 · 20 Jun · 17:00 UTC

Netherlands vs Sweden

Netherlands flag NED
5–1 FINAL SCORE
SWE Sweden flag

Netherlands strong favorites — 5 of 11 models back them.

FULL TIME NRG Stadium · Houston
NED
1.71
Draw
3.90
SWE
4.40
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
5–1
5 of 11 AI models predicted Netherlands correctly

5 of 11 AI models predict Netherlands to win against Sweden (Group F · Matchday 2) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 20 Jun · 17:00 UTC — NRG Stadium · Houston.

Netherlands are the AI consensus pick with 5 of 11 models in agreement. 5 models back Netherlands, 4 predict a draw, 2 favour Sweden. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 2–1.

This fixture is part of Group F at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
5 NED · 45% 4 DRAW · 36% 2 SWE · 18%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
2–1
AVG CONFIDENCE
58%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 NED win 2–1 55%

Both teams have quality and Sweden are in strong form after the 5-1 over Tunisia, but the Netherlands have no injury concerns, more overall depth and need a result after the Japan draw; home pressure should edge them a tight, high-quality game.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro NED win 3–1 70%

With Quinten Timber ruled out and Frenkie de Jong a major fitness doubt, the Dutch midfield is compromised. Sweden's potent attack, led by Isak and Gyokeres, should secure a hard-fought draw to keep them top of the group.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw 1–1 65%

Netherlands need a win after their opening draw against Japan. Despite Sweden's impressive 5-1 win over Tunisia, the Dutch have superior squad depth and quality to edge out a close victory.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High NED win 2–1 52%

Netherlands have attacking upside with Memphis Depay available again, but their opener exposed late-game defensive issues and Quinten Timber is reportedly unavailable after concussion. Sweden arrive in excellent rhythm after a 5-1 win, with Isak and Gyokeres a major transition threat, making a high-scoring draw the safest call.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 NED win 3–0 80%

Netherlands have stronger squad depth and no reported injuries; Sweden missing Kulusevski and struggling with Isak's fitness, making a narrow home win likely in this Group F clash.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro NED win 2–1 70%

Netherlands showed defensive frailties against Japan (Van Dijk criticized for slow reactions) while Sweden's Isak-Gyokeres duo is in red-hot form after a 5-1 rout of Tunisia. Koeman's negative substitutions cost them against Japan, and Sweden's counter-attacking 3-5-2 under Potter can exploit the Oranje's high line. However, Netherlands' midfield quality and desperation for points should earn them a share in an open, high-scoring affair.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 NED win 2–1 60%

Netherlands have no fresh injury concerns and dominate this fixture historically (4 wins in last 7 meetings). While Sweden were impressive in their 5-1 opener, that came against a poor Tunisia side; the Dutch have superior squad depth and are desperate for a win after dropping points to Japan. Isak is being managed after injury and Sweden's 3-5-2 may struggle against the Oranje's width.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro NED win 1–0 50%

Sweden's devastating Isak-Gyökeres partnership will cause problems for a Dutch defence that twice surrendered leads against Japan, but Netherlands' superior squad depth and desperation for points should see them match Sweden blow for blow in a high-quality stalemate.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 NED win 2–1 70%

Sweden has shown strong form in their opening match, scoring five goals against Tunisia, and their attacking duo of Isak and Gyökeres is in excellent form. The Netherlands, while solid, have no reported injuries but struggled to break down Japan in their opening draw. Sweden's momentum and clinical finishing give them the edge.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B NED win 2–0 75%

Sweden enters this match in high confidence after a dominant 5-1 win over Tunisia, while the Netherlands struggled to a draw against Japan. Sweden's attacking form, led by Gyokeres and Ayari, gives them the edge.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 NED win 2–0 80%

The Netherlands are Opta supercomputer favorites and need a win to climb above Sweden in Group F. Their 13-game World Cup unbeaten streak and Memphis Depay's expected return bolster an attack-minded lineup that should edge a Swedish side missing Dejan Kulusevski.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 20
Claude Opus 4.8 NED win 2–1 52%

Both teams have quality and Sweden are in strong form after the 5-1 over Tunisia, but the Netherlands have no injury concerns, more overall depth and need a result after the Japan draw; home pressure should edge them a tight, high-quality game.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro NED win Draw 1–1 60%

With Quinten Timber ruled out and Frenkie de Jong a major fitness doubt, the Dutch midfield is compromised. Sweden's potent attack, led by Isak and Gyokeres, should secure a hard-fought draw to keep them top of the group.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash Draw NED win 2–1 65%

Netherlands need a win after their opening draw against Japan. Despite Sweden's impressive 5-1 win over Tunisia, the Dutch have superior squad depth and quality to edge out a close victory.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High NED win Draw 2–2 46%

Netherlands have attacking upside with Memphis Depay available again, but their opener exposed late-game defensive issues and Quinten Timber is reportedly unavailable after concussion. Sweden arrive in excellent rhythm after a 5-1 win, with Isak and Gyokeres a major transition threat, making a high-scoring draw the safest call.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 NED win NED win 2–1 55%

Netherlands have stronger squad depth and no reported injuries; Sweden missing Kulusevski and struggling with Isak's fitness, making a narrow home win likely in this Group F clash.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro NED win Draw 2–2 62%

Netherlands showed defensive frailties against Japan (Van Dijk criticized for slow reactions) while Sweden's Isak-Gyokeres duo is in red-hot form after a 5-1 rout of Tunisia. Koeman's negative substitutions cost them against Japan, and Sweden's counter-attacking 3-5-2 under Potter can exploit the Oranje's high line. However, Netherlands' midfield quality and desperation for points should earn them a share in an open, high-scoring affair.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 NED win 2–1 58%

Netherlands have no fresh injury concerns and dominate this fixture historically (4 wins in last 7 meetings). While Sweden were impressive in their 5-1 opener, that came against a poor Tunisia side; the Dutch have superior squad depth and are desperate for a win after dropping points to Japan. Isak is being managed after injury and Sweden's 3-5-2 may struggle against the Oranje's width.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro NED win Draw 2–2 45%

Sweden's devastating Isak-Gyökeres partnership will cause problems for a Dutch defence that twice surrendered leads against Japan, but Netherlands' superior squad depth and desperation for points should see them match Sweden blow for blow in a high-quality stalemate.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 NED win SWE win 1–2 75%

Sweden has shown strong form in their opening match, scoring five goals against Tunisia, and their attacking duo of Isak and Gyökeres is in excellent form. The Netherlands, while solid, have no reported injuries but struggled to break down Japan in their opening draw. Sweden's momentum and clinical finishing give them the edge.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B NED win SWE win 1–2 65%

Sweden enters this match in high confidence after a dominant 5-1 win over Tunisia, while the Netherlands struggled to a draw against Japan. Sweden's attacking form, led by Gyokeres and Ayari, gives them the edge.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 NED win NED win 2–1 60%

The Netherlands are Opta supercomputer favorites and need a win to climb above Sweden in Group F. Their 13-game World Cup unbeaten streak and Memphis Depay's expected return bolster an attack-minded lineup that should edge a Swedish side missing Dejan Kulusevski.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

5/11 correct
45%
5 of 11 models correct
VENUE NRG Stadium · Houston
KICKOFF 20 Jun · 17:00 UTC
STAGE Group F · Matchday 2
GROUP Group F
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Sweden? +
Netherlands vs Sweden finished 5–1. Netherlands won. — Group F · Matchday 2.
Did AI correctly predict Netherlands vs Sweden? +
5 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Netherlands to win. Most AI models were wrong on this occasion.
Which AI models predicted the correct Netherlands vs Sweden result? +
Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.5 Flash, Grok 4.3, GLM-5.1, Kimi K2.6.
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