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Group E · Matchday 1 · 14 Jun · 23:00 UTC

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

Ivory Coast flag CIV
1–0 FINAL SCORE
ECU Ecuador flag

Models split almost evenly — 7 of 11 predict a draw.

FULL TIME Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia
CIV
3.05
Draw
2.88
ECU
2.60
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
1–0
2 of 11 AI models predicted Ivory Coast correctly · 1 called the exact score

2 of 11 AI models predict Ivory Coast to win against Ecuador (Group E · Matchday 1) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 14 Jun · 23:00 UTC — Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia.

AI models are split on the winner — 2 back Ivory Coast, 7 predict a draw, 2 favour Ecuador. The single most-agreed 90-minute scoreline is 1–1.

This fixture is part of Group E at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
2 CIV · 18% 7 DRAW · 64% 2 ECU · 18%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
1–1
AVG CONFIDENCE
59%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 ECU win 0–1 55%

Ivory Coast's four-match win streak meets Ecuador's resilient 19-match unbeaten run built on 13 clean sheets; Ecuador's low-scoring pragmatism (just 8 wins in 20) points toward a tight, evenly-matched draw in this key Group E clash.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw 1–1 60%

Ecuador has been defensively resolute and unbeaten over the past two years, but struggles to score, especially with Enner Valencia doubtful with a calf issue. Ivory Coast is missing key defender Evan Ndicka, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash CIV win 2–1 60%

Ecuador is exceptionally resilient defensively, carrying a 19-match unbeaten run, while Ivory Coast possesses a potent attack, making a hard-fought draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw 1–1 48%

Ecuador’s long unbeaten run and excellent defensive record make them difficult to beat, but their attack can be conservative and Enner Valencia’s fitness is a concern. Ivory Coast have momentum, though Evan N’Dicka’s absence weakens them defensively, pointing to a tight opening-match draw.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 Draw 1–1 60%

Evenly matched sides with strong defensive organizations; both motivated for opening points in a tight group.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw 1–1 60%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with a rock-solid defense (5 goals conceded in 18 qualifiers) led by Pacho and Hincapie. Ivory Coast are missing key defender Evan Ndicka; Ecuador's defensive resilience should edge a tight, low-scoring contest.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw 1–1 42%

A tight contest between Ivory Coast's attacking quality (Diomande, Diallo) and Ecuador's exceptional defensive record (13 clean sheets in 19 unbeaten matches). Ecuador's scoring struggles (1 goal/game average) tip the balance toward a narrow Ivory Coast win on the strength of their frontline.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw 1–1 38%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with 13 clean sheets, but average only 1 goal per game and win just 40% of fixtures (many draws). Ivory Coast are on a 4-match winning streak but lose key defender Ndicka to a thigh injury. With both teams knowing this result likely determines 2nd place behind Germany, a cautious, tight draw is the most probable outcome.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 CIV win 2–1 75%

Ivory Coast possess a talented squad with attacking depth (Hallér, Kessié, Seko, Krasso) and are motivated to prove themselves in their first World Cup since 2014. Ecuador are defensively solid but lack attacking fluency, and Ivory Coast's physicality and creativity should edge them out in a tightly contested match.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B Draw 1–1 60%

This is a clash of two physically strong sides. Ivory Coast's attacking talent is balanced by Ecuador's organized defensive structure, making a competitive draw a likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 Draw 1–1 50%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with the stingiest defence in South American qualifying, and expert tipsters fancy their organisation to shade a tight opener against an Ivory Coast side missing key defender Evan Ndicka.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 14
Claude Opus 4.8 ECU win Draw 1–1 45%

Ivory Coast's four-match win streak meets Ecuador's resilient 19-match unbeaten run built on 13 clean sheets; Ecuador's low-scoring pragmatism (just 8 wins in 20) points toward a tight, evenly-matched draw in this key Group E clash.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro Draw Draw 0–0 70%

Ecuador has been defensively resolute and unbeaten over the past two years, but struggles to score, especially with Enner Valencia doubtful with a calf issue. Ivory Coast is missing key defender Evan Ndicka, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash CIV win Draw 1–1 70%

Ecuador is exceptionally resilient defensively, carrying a 19-match unbeaten run, while Ivory Coast possesses a potent attack, making a hard-fought draw the most likely outcome.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High Draw 1–1 45%

Ecuador’s long unbeaten run and excellent defensive record make them difficult to beat, but their attack can be conservative and Enner Valencia’s fitness is a concern. Ivory Coast have momentum, though Evan N’Dicka’s absence weakens them defensively, pointing to a tight opening-match draw.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 Draw 1–1 55%

Evenly matched sides with strong defensive organizations; both motivated for opening points in a tight group.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro Draw ECU win 0–1 62%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with a rock-solid defense (5 goals conceded in 18 qualifiers) led by Pacho and Hincapie. Ivory Coast are missing key defender Evan Ndicka; Ecuador's defensive resilience should edge a tight, low-scoring contest.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 Draw CIV win 1–0 55%

A tight contest between Ivory Coast's attacking quality (Diomande, Diallo) and Ecuador's exceptional defensive record (13 clean sheets in 19 unbeaten matches). Ecuador's scoring struggles (1 goal/game average) tip the balance toward a narrow Ivory Coast win on the strength of their frontline.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro Draw 1–1 45%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with 13 clean sheets, but average only 1 goal per game and win just 40% of fixtures (many draws). Ivory Coast are on a 4-match winning streak but lose key defender Ndicka to a thigh injury. With both teams knowing this result likely determines 2nd place behind Germany, a cautious, tight draw is the most probable outcome.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 CIV win 2–1 75%

Ivory Coast possess a talented squad with attacking depth (Hallér, Kessié, Seko, Krasso) and are motivated to prove themselves in their first World Cup since 2014. Ecuador are defensively solid but lack attacking fluency, and Ivory Coast's physicality and creativity should edge them out in a tightly contested match.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B Draw 1–1 60%

This is a clash of two physically strong sides. Ivory Coast's attacking talent is balanced by Ecuador's organized defensive structure, making a competitive draw a likely outcome.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 Draw ECU win 0–1 70%

Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 matches with the stingiest defence in South American qualifying, and expert tipsters fancy their organisation to shade a tight opener against an Ivory Coast side missing key defender Evan Ndicka.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

2/11 correct
18%
2 of 11 models correct
1 exact score
VENUE Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia
KICKOFF 14 Jun · 23:00 UTC
STAGE Group E · Matchday 1
GROUP Group E
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Ivory Coast vs Ecuador? +
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador finished 1–0. Ivory Coast won. — Group E · Matchday 1.
Did AI correctly predict Ivory Coast vs Ecuador? +
2 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Ivory Coast to win. Most AI models were wrong on this occasion. 1 model also predicted the exact 1–0 scoreline.
Which AI models predicted the correct Ivory Coast vs Ecuador result? +
GLM-5.1, Mistral Large 3 (GLM-5.1 also got the exact score right).
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