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Next match in
Group L · Matchday 1 · 17 Jun · 20:00 UTC

England vs Croatia

England flag ENG
4–2 FINAL SCORE
CRO Croatia flag

England picked unanimously by all 11 models.

FULL TIME AT&T Stadium · Arlington
ENG
1.71
Draw
3.65
CRO
5.00
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
4–2
11 of 11 AI models predicted England correctly

11 of 11 AI models predict England to win against Croatia (Group L · Matchday 1) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 17 Jun · 20:00 UTC — AT&T Stadium · Arlington.

All 11 frontier AI models — including Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, and Grok — unanimously predict a England victory.

This fixture is part of Group L at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
11 ENG · 100% 0 DRAW · 0% 0 CRO · 0%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
2–1
AVG CONFIDENCE
70%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw 1–1 38%

England won all eight qualifiers without conceding and are ranked 4th, with strong squad depth covering the Livramento injury; an aging Croatia side should struggle against England's pace and pressing in the Dallas heat.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro ENG win 2–0 80%

England had a flawless qualifying campaign under Thomas Tuchel, and despite Livramento's withdrawal and Saka's fitness doubts, their squad depth should overpower an aging Croatia side.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash ENG win 2–1 65%

England enters the tournament with a perfect qualification record under Thomas Tuchel, and while Croatia has tournament pedigree, their recent defensive struggles give the Three Lions the edge.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High ENG win 2–1 58%

England have the deeper attacking squad and Tuchel has sounded confident about their readiness, while Kane arrives in strong form; Saka's fitness concern and Livramento's withdrawal slightly temper the edge. Croatia are fully available and experienced through Modric and Kovacic, but England's pace and bench quality should narrowly decide it.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 ENG win 2–1 65%

England are significantly stronger and better motivated for their Group L opener against an aging Croatia side; expect a narrow home win.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro ENG win 2–1 72%

England's perfect qualifying campaign (8 wins, 8 clean sheets) and superior squad depth give them the edge, while Croatia arrive with an aging core — 40-year-old Modrić in a protective mask, Kovačić and Kramarić playing through injuries — but Croatia's tournament pedigree should still yield a goal.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 ENG win 2–1 65%

England won their last 10 competitive matches without conceding a goal under Tuchel and cruised through qualifying, while Croatia's ageing core (40-year-old Modric, Kovacic, Perisic) failed to advance beyond the group stage at Euro 2024 and lack the dynamism to trouble a well-organised England side.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro ENG win 2–1 62%

England won all 8 qualifiers without conceding and have superior squad depth under Tuchel; despite Livramento's absence and Saka managing an Achilles issue, their overall quality and Opta's 55.9% win probability support a narrow victory over a Croatia side no longer at their 2018 peak.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 ENG win 2–1 75%

England enter the tournament with a strong squad despite minor injury concerns, including the absence of Tino Livramento. Croatia, while experienced, lack the depth and attacking prowess of past tournaments. England's tactical flexibility and home advantage in the region should see them edge this tightly contested match.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B ENG win 2–1 65%

England enters as favorites under Thomas Tuchel despite a late squad adjustment. Croatia remains competitive in possession, but England's overall squad depth and attacking quality should edge this opener.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 ENG win 2–1 60%

England's superior squad depth and perfect qualifying record give them the edge, though Bukayo Saka's fitness doubt and Croatia's tournament pedigree keep this competitive.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 17
Claude Opus 4.8 Draw ENG win 2–0 60%

England won all eight qualifiers without conceding and are ranked 4th, with strong squad depth covering the Livramento injury; an aging Croatia side should struggle against England's pace and pressing in the Dallas heat.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro ENG win 2–0 75%

England had a flawless qualifying campaign under Thomas Tuchel, and despite Livramento's withdrawal and Saka's fitness doubts, their squad depth should overpower an aging Croatia side.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash ENG win 2–1 75%

England enters the tournament with a perfect qualification record under Thomas Tuchel, and while Croatia has tournament pedigree, their recent defensive struggles give the Three Lions the edge.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High ENG win 2–1 61%

England have the deeper attacking squad and Tuchel has sounded confident about their readiness, while Kane arrives in strong form; Saka's fitness concern and Livramento's withdrawal slightly temper the edge. Croatia are fully available and experienced through Modric and Kovacic, but England's pace and bench quality should narrowly decide it.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 ENG win 2–1 75%

England are significantly stronger and better motivated for their Group L opener against an aging Croatia side; expect a narrow home win.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro ENG win 2–1 78%

England's perfect qualifying campaign (8 wins, 8 clean sheets) and superior squad depth give them the edge, while Croatia arrive with an aging core — 40-year-old Modrić in a protective mask, Kovačić and Kramarić playing through injuries — but Croatia's tournament pedigree should still yield a goal.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 ENG win ENG win 2–0 72%

England won their last 10 competitive matches without conceding a goal under Tuchel and cruised through qualifying, while Croatia's ageing core (40-year-old Modric, Kovacic, Perisic) failed to advance beyond the group stage at Euro 2024 and lack the dynamism to trouble a well-organised England side.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro ENG win 2–1 62%

England won all 8 qualifiers without conceding and have superior squad depth under Tuchel; despite Livramento's absence and Saka managing an Achilles issue, their overall quality and Opta's 55.9% win probability support a narrow victory over a Croatia side no longer at their 2018 peak.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 ENG win 2–1 75%

England enter the tournament with a strong squad despite minor injury concerns, including the absence of Tino Livramento. Croatia, while experienced, lack the depth and attacking prowess of past tournaments. England's tactical flexibility and home advantage in the region should see them edge this tightly contested match.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B ENG win 2–1 65%

England enters as favorites under Thomas Tuchel despite a late squad adjustment. Croatia remains competitive in possession, but England's overall squad depth and attacking quality should edge this opener.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 ENG win 2–1 70%

England's superior squad depth and perfect qualifying record give them the edge, though Bukayo Saka's fitness doubt and Croatia's tournament pedigree keep this competitive.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

11/11 correct
100%
11 of 11 models correct
VENUE AT&T Stadium · Arlington
KICKOFF 17 Jun · 20:00 UTC
STAGE Group L · Matchday 1
GROUP Group L
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of England vs Croatia? +
England vs Croatia finished 4–2. England won. — Group L · Matchday 1.
Did AI correctly predict England vs Croatia? +
11 of 11 AI models correctly predicted England to win. The majority of AI models called this correctly.
Which AI models predicted the correct England vs Croatia result? +
All 11 AI models predicted the correct result.
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