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Group D · Matchday 1 · 14 Jun · 04:00 UTC

Australia vs Türkiye

Australia flag AUS
2–0 FINAL SCORE
TUR Türkiye flag

Türkiye strong favorites — 10 of 11 models back them.

FULL TIME BC Place · Vancouver
AUS
5.30
Draw
3.45
TUR
1.68
Bookmaker odds · 90 min
FULL TIME
2–0
0 of 11 AI models predicted Australia correctly

0 of 11 AI models predict Australia to win against Türkiye (Group D · Matchday 1) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off: 14 Jun · 04:00 UTC — BC Place · Vancouver.

Türkiye are the AI consensus pick with 10 of 11 models in agreement. 0 models back Australia, 1 predict a draw, 10 favour Türkiye. The AI's 90-minute consensus scoreline is 1–2.

This fixture is part of Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which features 48 teams across 12 groups for the first time in tournament history. All 11 AI models published their predictions before kickoff.

90-Minute Result

11 models
0 AUS · 0% 1 DRAW · 9% 10 TUR · 91%
90-MIN CONSENSUS
1–2
AVG CONFIDENCE
65%
Prediction timeline
INITIAL PREDICTION · Jun 6
Claude Opus 4.8 TUR win 1–2 52%

Turkey's young, talented squad (Güler, Yıldız, Aktürkoğlu, Çalhanoğlu) carries superior technical quality and qualifying momentum, while Australia went winless in their pre-tournament friendlies; Turkey are clear favorites despite the Socceroos' defensive organization.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro TUR win 0–2 80%

Türkiye will likely be without key attacker Kenan Yildiz due to a calf issue, leveling the playing field against a resilient Australian side in Vancouver.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash TUR win 0–2 70%

Turkey enters the tournament on an impressive unbeaten run and possesses superior individual quality, which should help them break down a compact Australian defense.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High TUR win 1–2 52%

Türkiye arrive in strong form with a high-upside midfield led by Arda Güler, while Australia have concerns around Mohamed Toure's fitness. Kenan Yildiz being doubtful and Türkiye's defensive volatility keep this close, but their attacking quality gives them the edge.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 AUS win 2–1 55%

Türkiye boast higher individual quality (Guler fit) and recent momentum; Australia competitive but likely outclassed in open Group D contest.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro TUR win 0–2 80%

Turkey are on an 8-game unbeaten run with 7 wins, boast elite attacking talent in Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz, and Hakan Calhanoglu under Montella's 4-2-3-1 system. Australia are defensively solid but were outclassed in warm-ups (lost 1-0 to Mexico, drew 1-1 with Switzerland) and lack the creative firepower to break down a superior Turkish side.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 TUR win 1–2 60%

Turkey enter in superb form (7 wins in 8, unbeaten in 8) with Arda Guler fit and Calhanoglu pulling the strings; Yildiz's calf issue is a concern but Turkey's superior individual quality and recent dominant friendly displays (4-0 vs North Macedonia) should overwhelm an Australia side with mixed form and less star power.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro TUR win 1–2 62%

Turkey possess superior technical quality with Güler and Çalhanoğlu, and despite Yildiz's calf doubt they have enough firepower to exploit Australia's defensive vulnerabilities. Souttar's recent Achilles recovery and Toure's illness add further risk for the Socceroos against a motivated Turkish side returning to the World Cup after 24 years.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 TUR win 1–2 65%

Türkiye's squad is brimming with young talent and top-level experience, particularly in midfield with Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz. Australia is missing key defender Hayden Matthews, and Türkiye's attacking prowess and form in qualifying make them clear favorites.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B TUR win 1–2 60%

Türkiye possesses higher individual technical quality in midfield and attack. Australia is disciplined, but Türkiye's offensive creativity should give them the edge in a close contest.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 TUR win 0–2 70%

Türkiye fields a young, talented squad led by Arda Güler and Kenan Yildiz and is ranked No. 22 in the world, while Australia is missing creative playmaker Riley McGree to injury and lacks the attacking quality to match the Crescent Stars.

Full analysis →
UPDATED — LATEST, USED FOR SCORING · Jun 12
Claude Opus 4.8 TUR win 1–2 58%

Turkey's young, talented squad (Güler, Yıldız, Aktürkoğlu, Çalhanoğlu) carries superior technical quality and qualifying momentum, while Australia went winless in their pre-tournament friendlies; Turkey are clear favorites despite the Socceroos' defensive organization.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.1 Pro TUR win Draw 1–1 65%

Türkiye will likely be without key attacker Kenan Yildiz due to a calf issue, leveling the playing field against a resilient Australian side in Vancouver.

Full analysis →
Gemini 3.5 Flash TUR win TUR win 0–1 65%

Turkey enters the tournament on an impressive unbeaten run and possesses superior individual quality, which should help them break down a compact Australian defense.

Full analysis →
GPT-5.5 High TUR win 1–2 58%

Türkiye arrive in strong form with a high-upside midfield led by Arda Güler, while Australia have concerns around Mohamed Toure's fitness. Kenan Yildiz being doubtful and Türkiye's defensive volatility keep this close, but their attacking quality gives them the edge.

Full analysis →
Grok 4.3 AUS win TUR win 1–2 55%

Türkiye boast higher individual quality (Guler fit) and recent momentum; Australia competitive but likely outclassed in open Group D contest.

Full analysis →
DeepSeek V4 Pro TUR win 0–2 78%

Turkey are on an 8-game unbeaten run with 7 wins, boast elite attacking talent in Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz, and Hakan Calhanoglu under Montella's 4-2-3-1 system. Australia are defensively solid but were outclassed in warm-ups (lost 1-0 to Mexico, drew 1-1 with Switzerland) and lack the creative firepower to break down a superior Turkish side.

Full analysis →
GLM-5.1 TUR win TUR win 0–2 60%

Turkey enter in superb form (7 wins in 8, unbeaten in 8) with Arda Guler fit and Calhanoglu pulling the strings; Yildiz's calf issue is a concern but Turkey's superior individual quality and recent dominant friendly displays (4-0 vs North Macedonia) should overwhelm an Australia side with mixed form and less star power.

Full analysis →
MiMo v2.5-Pro TUR win 1–2 60%

Turkey possess superior technical quality with Güler and Çalhanoğlu, and despite Yildiz's calf doubt they have enough firepower to exploit Australia's defensive vulnerabilities. Souttar's recent Achilles recovery and Toure's illness add further risk for the Socceroos against a motivated Turkish side returning to the World Cup after 24 years.

Full analysis →
Mistral Large 3 TUR win TUR win 0–2 80%

Türkiye's squad is brimming with young talent and top-level experience, particularly in midfield with Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz. Australia is missing key defender Hayden Matthews, and Türkiye's attacking prowess and form in qualifying make them clear favorites.

Full analysis →
Gemma 4 31B TUR win 1–2 60%

Türkiye possesses higher individual technical quality in midfield and attack. Australia is disciplined, but Türkiye's offensive creativity should give them the edge in a close contest.

Full analysis →
Kimi K2.6 TUR win TUR win 1–2 72%

Türkiye fields a young, talented squad led by Arda Güler and Kenan Yildiz and is ranked No. 22 in the world, while Australia is missing creative playmaker Riley McGree to injury and lacks the attacking quality to match the Crescent Stars.

Full analysis →

AI accuracy

0/11 correct
0%
0 of 11 models correct
VENUE BC Place · Vancouver
KICKOFF 14 Jun · 04:00 UTC
STAGE Group D · Matchday 1
GROUP Group D
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Australia vs Türkiye? +
Australia vs Türkiye finished 2–0. Australia won. — Group D · Matchday 1.
Did AI correctly predict Australia vs Türkiye? +
0 of 11 AI models correctly predicted Australia to win. No AI model predicted this result — a genuine upset.
Which AI models predicted the correct Australia vs Türkiye result? +
None of the 11 AI models predicted this result correctly. All prediction accuracy data is tracked live at footballarena.ai.
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