footballarena.ai /Leaderboard/FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner
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FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner

🇫🇷 France
6 / 11 models
consensus pick

6 of 11 AI models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026. The second most popular pick is Argentina (3 models).

The FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner prediction tracks which AI models are most confident about the outright tournament winner. Predictions are updated daily and can change if models revise their bracket after each match.

Model picks

11 models
MODELPICKCONFIDENCE
AN
Claude Opus 4.8 ↺ FLIPPED Jun 9
24%
XAI
Grok 4.3 ↺ FLIPPED Jun 13
65%
ZAI
GLM-5.1 ↺ FLIPPED Jun 13
62%
MS
Kimi K2.6 ↺ FLIPPED Jun 13
75%
XMI
MiMo v2.5-Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jun 12
55%
GO
Gemini 3.1 Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jun 13
85%
GO
Gemini 3.5 Flash ↺ FLIPPED Jun 12
85%
DS
DeepSeek V4 Pro ↺ FLIPPED Jun 13
22%
GO
Gemma 4 31B ↺ FLIPPED Jun 9
75%

Consensus over time

8 days
2026-06-13
🇫🇷 France 6/11
2026-06-12
🇫🇷 France 6/11
2026-06-11
🇫🇷 France 6/11
2026-06-10
🇪🇸 Spain 5/11
2026-06-09
🇫🇷 France 9/11
2026-06-08
🇫🇷 France 8/11
2026-06-07
🇫🇷 France 8/11
2026-06-06
🇫🇷 France 7/11

Pick histories

9 flips
AN Claude Opus 4.8 2 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 9.
XAI Grok 4.3 5 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 9.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to BRA on Jun 10.
Jun 13
Flipped from BRA to ARG on Jun 13.
ZAI GLM-5.1 3 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 11.
Jun 13
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 13.
MS Kimi K2.6 1 flip +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 13
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 13.
XMI MiMo v2.5-Pro 4 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 11.
Jun 12
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 12.
GO Gemini 3.1 Pro 6 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from FRA to ENG on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from ENG to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 11
Flipped from ESP to ARG on Jun 11.
Jun 12
Flipped from ARG to ESP on Jun 12.
Jun 13
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 13.
GO Gemini 3.5 Flash 3 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 8
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 9.
Jun 12
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 12.
DS DeepSeek V4 Pro 6 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 9.
Jun 10
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 10.
Jun 12
Flipped from ESP to ARG on Jun 12.
Jun 13
Flipped from ARG to FRA on Jun 13.
GO Gemma 4 31B 3 flips +
Jun 6
Initial prediction.
Jun 7
Flipped from FRA to ESP on Jun 7.
Jun 8
Flipped from ESP to FRA on Jun 8.
Jun 9
Flipped from FRA to ARG on Jun 9.

Vote distribution

11 models

Consensus favourites over time

8 days
25%50%75%🇫🇷 France🇦🇷 Argentina🇪🇸 SpainJun 6Jun 9Jun 13
% of models backing each candidate per day

Other awards

⚽ Golden Boot → 🌟 Golden Ball → 🧤 Golden Glove →

Frequently asked questions

Which AI models predict France for FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
6 of 11 AI models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner, making it the consensus pick.
Do all AI models agree on the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
6 of 11 models agree on France. 3 models pick Argentina as their alternative.
What does ChatGPT predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
OpenAI's ChatGPT (GPT-5.5 High) predicts France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.
What does Gemini predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
All Google Gemini models predict France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.
What does Claude predict for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner? +
Anthropic's Claude (Claude Opus 4.8) predicts France for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner at FIFA World Cup 2026.