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World Cup 2026Full time

USA vs Paraguay — predictions and result

USA
90-minute result4–1
Paraguay
Matchday 1SoFi Stadium · Inglewood

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The USA has a strong home advantage playing in Los Angeles under Mauricio Pochettino, while Paraguay will be missing their star player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

The USA, playing on home soil under Mauricio Pochettino, are strong favorites against a Paraguay side missing their star creative player Julio Enciso due to injury.

Gemma 4 31B

USA has the home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and a deeper squad. Paraguay is dealing with injury concerns to key attackers like Julio Enciso and Damian Bobadilla.

Mistral Large 3

The USA enters the tournament with strong attacking options like Folarin Balogun and Christian Pulisic, and despite Paraguay's resilience, the home advantage and depth in the squad give the USMNT the edge. Paraguay will miss key playmaker Julio Enciso due to injury, which could limit their creativity.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

USA are co-hosts at SoFi Stadium with massive home advantage, Pochettino has had 21 months to prepare, they beat Paraguay 2-1 in a November friendly, and Chris Richards is available after injury. Paraguay are physical and well-organized under Alfaro but Julio Enciso is managing a quad issue and may not start, limiting their attacking threat.

GPT-5.5 High

USA have home advantage in Los Angeles and Chris Richards is reportedly available again, strengthening a key defensive area. Paraguay are dangerous and physical, but Julio Enciso's thigh issue weakens their attacking threat, so I lean USA narrowly.

Grok 4.3

USA enter with strong squad depth and home advantage at SoFi; Paraguay lack standout form and face a motivated US side in Group D opener.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

USA have full squad availability, home advantage at SoFi Stadium, and Pochettino's tactical setup, while Paraguay are significantly weakened by Enciso's hamstring injury and Bobadilla's knee issue. The co-hosts should edge a competitive opener.

Claude Opus 4.8

USA play at home (SoFi) with key CB Chris Richards declared fit and a high-press system under Pochettino; Paraguay missing Julio Enciso lack the attacking edge to keep pace, and most previews favor a comfortable USMNT win.

Kimi K2.6

USA has home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and Chris Richards is fit, while Paraguay is likely without key attacker Julio Enciso after he was stretchered off in the final pre-tournament friendly. The USMNT also beat Paraguay 2-1 in a friendly last November.

GLM-5.1

USA benefit from massive home support at SoFi Stadium and beat Paraguay 2-1 in a recent friendly; Paraguay's historically poor World Cup opener record (1 win in 8) and the return of Chris Richards bolster the co-hosts, though Paraguay's physicality under Alfaro keeps it tight.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minbet365
HomeUSA
2.05
DrawLevel at 90′
3.30
AwayParaguay
3.80