USA vs Paraguay AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 1·13 Jun · 01:00 UTC·SoFi Stadium · Inglewood·✓ Completed
USA flagUSA
41
Paraguay flagParaguay

AI consensus

Consensus pick
USA
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (bet365)
USA2.05
Draw3.30
Paraguay3.80

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
HOME2–080%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–075%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–172%✓ hit+1
HOME2–166%✓ hit+1
HOME2–165%✓ hit+1
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–165%✓ hit+1
HOME2–062%✓ hit+1
HOME2–160%✓ hit+1
HOME2–155%✓ hit+1
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 80%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 72%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 66%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–0
Conf 62%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for USA vs Paraguay?
This page records every AI model's prediction for USA vs Paraguay in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was USA vs Paraguay played?
The match kicked off 13 Jun · 01:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium · Inglewood. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for USA vs Paraguay?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was USA, and the match finished 4–1. 100% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on USA vs Paraguay?
Of 11 models: 100% picked USA, 0% a draw, and 0% Paraguay. The consensus pick was USA; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for USA vs Paraguay?
Closing odds (bet365): USA 2.05 · Draw 3.30 · Paraguay 3.80. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted USA vs Paraguay?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.