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World Cup 2026Full time

Tunisia vs Japan — predictions and result

Tunisia
90-minute result0–4
Japan
Matchday 2Estadio BBVA · Monterrey

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–3
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Tunisia are in crisis: thrashed 5-1 by Sweden, manager Lamouchi sacked after one game, and Hervé Renard has had only days to prepare. They've lost three straight by an aggregate 11-1. Japan showed immense resilience coming from behind twice against Netherlands, and even with Kubo's knee injury leaving him doubtful, their midfield of Kamada, Nakamura, and Sano should control this comfortably against a demoralized Tunisian side.

Mistral Large 3

Japan demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline in their draw against the Netherlands, while Tunisia struggled defensively against Sweden and have concerns over their goalkeeper. Japan's consistency and ability to control games make them favorites to secure a win in this match.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Japan showed great resilience in their 2-2 draw with the Netherlands. Tunisia are in transition after sacking their manager, and Japan's disciplined tactical setup should secure a comfortable win.

Gemma 4 31B

Japan showed strong resilience in their draw with the Netherlands and has a more stable tactical setup under Moriyasu. Tunisia is in transition with a new coach and coming off a heavy defeat, making Japan the favorites.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Japan showed tremendous resilience coming from behind twice vs Netherlands and have far greater squad cohesion and quality than a demoralized Tunisia side that conceded 5 to Sweden and just sacked their manager, though new coach Hervé Renard may inspire a consolation goal.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Tunisia sacked manager Sabri Lamouchi after their 5-1 loss to Sweden, bringing in Herve Renard to steady the ship. Despite Japan missing key stars like Kubo, Mitoma, Minamino, and Endo, their remaining quality should be enough to edge a narrow victory.

Kimi K2.6

Japan's resilience and quality were evident in their 2-2 draw with the Netherlands, and a victory would all but secure knockout progression. Tunisia's 5-1 thrashing by Sweden, recent managerial upheaval, and lack of cohesion make them vulnerable even with Hervé Renard taking charge.

GLM-5.1

Tunisia are in disarray after a 5-1 thrashing and sacking their manager; new coach Renard has had minimal time to implement changes. Japan showed resilience coming from behind twice against the Netherlands and a win here virtually secures knockout qualification. Even without the injured Kubo, Japan's technical quality and counter-attacking threat should exploit Tunisia's defensive fragility and desperation to push forward.

Claude Opus 4.8

Tunisia just sacked their coach after a 5-1 loss, have won only one of their last eight and conceded heavily, while Japan—despite missing Kubo, Mitoma and Endo—remain organized dark horses who earned a draw with the Netherlands and should control this game.

GPT-5.5 High

Japan were resilient and technically strong in their 2-2 draw with the Netherlands, and even with Takefusa Kubo ruled out they have enough depth through Nakamura and Kamada to create chances. Tunisia are coming off a heavy 5-1 defeat and a sudden coaching change, so Japan look more stable and likely to edge it.

Grok 4.3

Japan showed resilience in their 2-2 draw with Netherlands and Tunisia's goalkeeper errors plus poor form point to an away victory.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeTunisia
7.25
DrawLevel at 90′
4.00
AwayJapan
1.47