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World Cup 2026Full time

France vs England — predictions and result

France
90-minute result4–6
England
Third-place play-offHard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden · Miami

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedEnglandCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedFranceMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Mistral Large 3

France enters the third-place playoff with higher motivation, as Kylian Mbappé is tied for the Golden Boot and aims to secure it with a goal. England, despite their depth, are dealing with fatigue and key injuries, including Jordan Henderson and Reece James, which could impact their performance. France's squad is relatively healthier and more rested, giving them an edge in this match.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

France enters this match with an extra day of rest and a highly motivated Kylian Mbappé chasing the Golden Boot. With England dealing with fatigue and several key injuries, Les Bleus should secure the bronze medal in Didier Deschamps' final match in charge.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

France have stronger motivation with Deschamps' farewell after 14 years and Mbappé chasing the Golden Boot (8 goals). England are rotating heavily amid fatigue and injuries (Rice walking wounded, James doubtful, Henderson out), while Saliba's absence for France is offset by Lacroix stepping in. Tuchel's side also carries the emotional hangover from their late collapse against Argentina, whereas France's defeat to Spain was more straightforward.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

With Kylian Mbappe highly motivated to secure the Golden Boot and England's defense proving leaky throughout the knockouts, France's attacking firepower should overcome an England side dealing with midfield fitness concerns.

Gemma 4 31B

France possesses superior individual quality in attack with Mbappé and Dembélé, and while both teams are coming off semi-final losses, France's overall tournament dominance suggests they have a slight edge in a bronze medal match.

GLM-5.1

France have stronger motivation with Deschamps' farewell and Mbappé's Golden Boot chase ensuring their star player starts, while England are emotionally deflated after the Argentina collapse and have lost both previous World Cup third-place playoffs. France's superior head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5 meetings) and deeper squad quality even under rotation tip the balance.

GPT-5.5 High

Recent team news points to France missing William Saliba but still likely starting Mbappé, while England are without Henderson and have Reece James doubtful, with Tuchel expected to rotate after a draining semifinal. France also have slightly more rest, Mbappé chasing the Golden Boot, and extra motivation in Didier Deschamps’ final match, so I lean France in a competitive bronze playoff.

Kimi K2.6

France has Kylian Mbappe available and motivated to chase the Golden Boot (8 goals, tied with Messi), while England faces key absences with Henderson out, James doubtful, and Rice fatigued. Both teams will rotate in this third-place playoff, but France's superior squad depth and Mbappe's presence give them the edge in an open, high-scoring affair.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

France have the stronger motivation: Deschamps' farewell game and Mbappe's Golden Boot chase (level on 8 goals with Messi). Both teams will rotate, but France's deeper squad and emotional edge should see them through in what is likely to be an open, end-to-end third-place match.

Claude Opus 4.8

Both sides rotate heavily, but France retain elite attacking depth and Mbappe should start to chase the Golden Boot in Deschamps' farewell match; England are missing Reece James, have a fatigued Rice, and are on an emotional low after their cruel semifinal loss. Expect an open, high-scoring bronze final that France edge.

Grok 4.3

France edge it on superior attacking talent (Mbappe 8 goals) and squad depth despite low motivation in the bronze match; England hampered by multiple injuries.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeFrance
1.90
DrawLevel at 90′
3.95
AwayEngland
3.45