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World Cup 2026Full time

Senegal vs Iraq — predictions and result

Senegal
90-minute result5–0
Iraq
Matchday 3BMO Field · Toronto

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Senegal's superior quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) should overwhelm an Iraq side that has conceded 7 goals in 2 games. Iraq's top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring issue, while Senegal still have a slim path to the Round of 32 as a best 3rd-placed team with a big win.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Senegal are far superior to Iraq and need a convincing win to secure qualification to the Round of 32 as one of the best third-placed teams.

Gemma 4 31B

Senegal is significantly stronger than Iraq, who have lost both group games. Despite their poor start, Senegal's individual quality should prevail against an Iraq side that has struggled to score.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Senegal are far superior on paper despite both teams having 0 points; Iraq have scored just 1 goal and conceded 7, and top scorer Aymen Hussein is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Senegal will be desperate for a convincing win to boost their third-place qualification hopes, and players like Mané and Sarr should dominate an outmatched Iraqi side.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Senegal has shown more attacking threat against top teams and will be highly motivated to secure a win for a chance to advance as a third-placed team, while Iraq has struggled defensively.

Kimi K2.6

Senegal must win to keep faint last-16 hopes alive and faces an Iraq side missing its only scorer Aymen Hussein, while the Lions' attacking trio of Mané, Sarr and Jackson should exploit a fragile Iraqi defence.

GLM-5.1

Both teams are eliminated with 0 points, but Senegal possess far superior individual quality (Mané, Jackson, Sarr) and pushed Norway close (2-3), while Iraq have been outclassed in both matches conceding seven goals; Senegal should win comfortably even without injured GK Mendy.

Grok 4.3

Senegal needs points to avoid last place and has shown attacking threat despite losses; Iraq has conceded heavily in all games and offers little motivation with 0 points.

Mistral Large 3

Senegal are more motivated to avoid elimination and have superior individual quality, especially with Nicolas Jackson and Sadio Mané leading the attack. Iraq’s defensive frailties and lack of clean sheets in recent matches make them vulnerable.

Claude Opus 4.8

Senegal must win convincingly to keep their slim third-place qualification hopes alive, providing strong motivation, and despite defensive lapses they have far superior individual quality against an Iraq side that has scored just once in two heavy defeats.

GPT-5.5 High

Senegal have lost twice but still carry far more attacking quality and must chase a convincing win, while Iraq have conceded seven goals in two matches. Recent team news confirms Edouard Mendy is out for Senegal, but Iraq striker Aymen Hussein is doubtful, which weakens their best route to an upset.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeSenegal
1.24
DrawLevel at 90′
5.60
AwayIraq
11.50