France vs Spain AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Semi-final·14 Jul · 19:00 UTC·Dallas Stadium · Arlington·✓ Completed
France flagFrance
02
Spain flagSpain

AI consensus

Consensus pick
France
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 82% · D 18% · A 0%
Market odds (10Bet)
France2.38
Draw3.10
Spain3.05

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
DRAW1–185%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–175%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–175%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–175%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–168%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–165%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–162%✗ missFrance0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–162%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–160%✗ missFrance0
HOME2–158%✗ missFrance0
DRAW1–155%✗ missFrance0
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1–1
Conf 85%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 62%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 62%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagDRAW1–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactFrance0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for France vs Spain?
This page records every AI model's prediction for France vs Spain in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Semi-final). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was France vs Spain played?
The match kicked off 14 Jul · 19:00 UTC at Dallas Stadium · Arlington. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for France vs Spain?
No. The AI consensus picked France, but the match finished 0–2 — Spain. 82% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on France vs Spain?
Of 11 models: 82% picked France, 18% a draw, and 0% Spain. The consensus pick was France; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for France vs Spain?
Closing odds (10Bet): France 2.38 · Draw 3.10 · Spain 3.05. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in France vs Spain?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 91% backed France to go through and 9% backed Spain.
How many AI models predicted France vs Spain?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.