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World Cup 2026Full time

Belgium vs Senegal — predictions and result

Belgium
90-minute result2–23–2 AET
Senegal
Round of 32Lumen Field · Seattle

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBelgiumCorrect

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Belgium found their rhythm with a 5-1 win over New Zealand and should carry that momentum to overcome Senegal.

Kimi K2.6

Belgium’s front four of De Bruyne, Lukaku, Trossard and Saelemaekers clicked in the 5-1 rout of New Zealand, while Senegal are without injured goalkeeper Édouard Mendy.

Mistral Large 3

Belgium's experienced squad and Senegal's recent form suggest a tightly contested match, but Belgium's midfield control and attacking options should see them through.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Despite missing Jeremy Doku, Belgium has enough quality to overcome Senegal, who barely scraped through and are missing goalkeeper Edouard Mendy.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Belgium thrashed New Zealand 5-1 with Doku back and Trossard (2 goals) firing. Senegal lost to both France and Norway. Belgium's De Bruyne, Lukaku and Trossard give them the edge.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Belgium have been underwhelming with three draws but Doku returns and De Bruyne-Trossard-Lukaku provide quality. Senegal are missing injured goalkeeper Édouard Mendy, which is a critical blow.

Gemma 4 31B

Belgium's late surge in the group stage gives them momentum, though Senegal remains a tough physical opponent.

GLM-5.1

Belgium's De Bruyne and Trossard are hitting peak form after the 5-0 rout of New Zealand, while Senegal are without goalkeeper Mendy (knee injury). Senegal's 5-0 win over Iraq shows fight, but Belgium's quality should tell.

GPT-5.5 High

Belgium’s injuries and suspension issues in defense keep this risky, while Senegal arrive with attacking momentum. Still, De Bruyne, Trossard and Lukaku against a Senegal side missing Edouard Mendy is enough for a narrow Belgium pick.

Claude Opus 4.8

Belgium clicked in the final group game with De Bruyne and Trossard firing; a slight edge over a strong but inconsistent Senegal in a close contest.

Grok 4.3

Belgium's experience edges Senegal in a competitive matchup.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeBelgium
2.14
DrawLevel at 90′
3.20
AwaySenegal
3.45