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World Cup 2026Full time

France vs Sweden — predictions and result

France
90-minute result3–0
Sweden
Round of 32MetLife Stadium · New-York

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectExactFranceCorrect
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectExactFranceCorrect
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectExactFranceCorrect
GrokGrok 4.3xAI3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectExactFranceCorrect
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedFranceCorrect

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

France has been flawless, with Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele both scoring four goals in the group stage. Sweden will struggle to contain them.

Gemma 4 31B

France is dominant with Mbappe and Dembele in top form, while Sweden struggled against the Dutch.

GLM-5.1

France are the tournament's most dominant team with 9 points and a +8 goal difference. Mbappé (4 goals) and Dembélé (4 goals) are unplayable right now, while Sweden were thrashed 5-1 by the Netherlands and lack the quality to compete.

Grok 4.3

France's star quality and recent wins make them overwhelming favorites against Sweden.

Mistral Large 3

France's attacking firepower, led by Mbappe, is unmatched. Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of creativity in midfield make them underdogs in this clash.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

France were perfect in Group I with 9 points, Mbappé has 4 goals and Dembélé 4. Sweden have attacking threats in Isak and Gyökeres but France's all-around quality is on another level.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

France has been in unstoppable form with a perfect group stage record, while Sweden's defense has looked vulnerable, conceding seven goals.

Kimi K2.6

France have been utterly dominant with Mbappé and Dembélé combining for eight goals, while Sweden’s defense was exposed in a 5-1 drubbing by the Netherlands.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

France have been perfect (W3) with Mbappé and Dembélé both on 4 goals. Sweden were thrashed 5-1 by the Netherlands. France's quality gap is significant.

Claude Opus 4.8

France were dominant in the group (Mbappe, Dembele on fire) and clearly superior to a Sweden side that only sneaked through as a third-placed team.

GPT-5.5 High

France have looked like the tournament’s most complete attack, with Mbappe and Dembele both in elite form. Sweden carry threat through Isak and Gyokeres, but their defensive record against stronger sides is a major concern.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeFrance
1.30
DrawLevel at 90′
5.20
AwaySweden
9.50