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World Cup 2026Full time

Netherlands vs Morocco — predictions and result

Netherlands
90-minute result1–11–1 (2–3 pens)
Morocco
Round of 32Estadio BBVA · Monterrey

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactMoroccoCorrect
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H—D—A—
MissedMissedMoroccoCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedNetherlandsMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

MiMo v2.5-Pro

A tight clash between two in-form sides with 7 points each. Morocco's 2022 semifinal experience and draw with Brazil shows they can compete at the highest level. This could go to extra time with Morocco edging it.

Mistral Large 3

Morocco's tactical discipline and counter-attacking threat could exploit the Netherlands' defensive frailties. The Dutch have struggled against organized defenses, and Morocco's form makes them dangerous.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Netherlands have a potent attack led by Brian Brobbey and Cody Gakpo, which should help them edge past a solid Moroccan side.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

The Netherlands scored ten goals in the group stage and should narrowly edge out a well-organized Morocco side.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Netherlands have scored 10 goals in the group stage with Brobbey and Gakpo in form. Morocco are resilient and drew with Brazil, but the Dutch attacking depth should edge this tight contest.

Gemma 4 31B

Netherlands showed strong form with a 5-1 win over Sweden; Morocco is dangerous but the Dutch have more depth.

Grok 4.3

Netherlands edge Morocco in a tight contest thanks to attacking options and set-piece strength.

Kimi K2.6

Netherlands topped Group F with a potent attack led by Brobbey and Gakpo, and their offensive momentum should narrowly overcome Morocco’s resilient but recently breached defense.

Claude Opus 4.8

Netherlands' attacking form (Brobbey, Gakpo) edges a dangerous Morocco side; tight game but the Dutch have more goal threat at present.

GLM-5.1

Netherlands scored 10 group-stage goals with Brobbey and Gakpo in lethal form. Morocco's draw with Brazil proves their quality, but the Dutch have more firepower and Koeman's side look genuine contenders.

GPT-5.5 High

Morocco are unbeaten and tactically awkward, but the Netherlands have generated the more explosive attacking numbers with Brobbey, Gakpo and Summerville all contributing. This looks close, with Dutch firepower narrowly decisive.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeNetherlands
2.05
DrawLevel at 90′
3.30
AwayMorocco
3.60