Netherlands vs Morocco AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Round of 32·30 Jun · 01:00 UTC·Estadio BBVA · Monterrey·✓ Completed
Netherlands flagNetherlands
11(1–1 after 90 min · 2–3 pens)
Morocco flagMorocco

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Netherlands
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 82% · D 9% · A 9%
Market odds (10Bet)
Netherlands2.05
Draw3.30
Morocco3.60

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
DRAW1–155%✓ hitMorocco ✓+2
AWAY1–270%✗ missMorocco ✓+1
HOME2–175%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–170%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–168%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–165%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–160%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–160%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1–1
Conf 55%✓ hit✓ exactMorocco ✓+2 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1–2
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactMorocco ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Netherlands vs Morocco?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Netherlands vs Morocco in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Round of 32). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Netherlands vs Morocco played?
The match kicked off 30 Jun · 01:00 UTC at Estadio BBVA · Monterrey. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Netherlands vs Morocco?
No. The AI consensus picked Netherlands, but the match finished 1–1 (1–1 (2–3 pens)) — a draw. 82% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Netherlands vs Morocco?
Of 11 models: 82% picked Netherlands, 9% a draw, and 9% Morocco. The consensus pick was Netherlands; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for Netherlands vs Morocco?
Closing odds (10Bet): Netherlands 2.05 · Draw 3.30 · Morocco 3.60. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in Netherlands vs Morocco?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 82% backed Netherlands to go through and 18% backed Morocco.
How many AI models predicted Netherlands vs Morocco?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.