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World Cup 2026Full time

Brazil vs Japan — predictions and result

Brazil
90-minute result2–1
Japan
Round of 32NRG Stadium · Houston

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactBrazilCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedBrazilCorrect
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedBrazilCorrect
GrokGrok 4.3xAI3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedBrazilCorrect
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedBrazilCorrect
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedBrazilCorrect

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Brazil recovered from their opening draw to win back-to-back matches 3-0, and their star-studded attack should prove too strong for Japan.

Gemma 4 31B

Brazil's firepower with Vinicius Junior and Cunha is superior, though Japan's tactical discipline makes them a threat.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Brazil have hit form with back-to-back 3-0 wins and Vinicius Jr firing, while Japan are missing injured Kubo and have a defensive doubt in Itakura. Japan's October friendly win was against a weaker Brazil backline.

Kimi K2.6

Brazil’s Vinicius Jr and Matheus Cunha are in excellent form, and although Japan’s defensive block is disciplined, the Selecao’s individual brilliance should see them through despite Raphinha’s absence.

GLM-5.1

Brazil's Vinicius Junior (4 goals) and Matheus Cunha (3 goals) are in superb form, and Neymar's return bolsters the attack. Japan are missing Kubo and Itakura to injury, weakening their creative options against elite opposition.

GPT-5.5 High

Brazil have found rhythm with back-to-back 3-0 wins and Vinicius Junior in excellent scoring form, even with Raphinha unavailable. Japan’s structure and counters can trouble them, but Kubo’s fitness issue lowers the upset chance.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Brazil has been dominant in the group stage, with Vinicius Junior in exceptional form. Japan will struggle without the injured Takefusa Kubo.

Mistral Large 3

Brazil are motivated to avenge their earlier group stage draw against Japan and have superior individual talent. Japan's injury concerns, including the absence of key players like Mitoma and Kubo, further tilt the balance in Brazil's favor.

Grok 4.3

Brazil's attacking firepower and experience overwhelm Japan despite Japan's solid group stage.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Brazil are fully fit with Vinicius Jr (4 goals) leading the attack. Japan are without Kubo and Itakura is a doubt. Brazil's quality across the pitch should prove decisive.

Claude Opus 4.8

Brazil's superior squad depth and attack (Vinicius, Cunha) should overcome Japan despite Raphinha's injury; H2H and class favor the Selecao.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeBrazil
1.66
DrawLevel at 90′
3.70
AwayJapan
5.10