World Cup 2026Full time
Australia
Egypt| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact | Advance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H—D—A— | Correct | Exact | EgyptCorrect |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H—D—A— | Correct | Exact | EgyptCorrect |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H—D—A— | Correct | Exact | EgyptCorrect |
| GPT-5.5 HighOpenAI | 1–1 | H—D—A— | Correct | Exact | EgyptCorrect |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | EgyptCorrect |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | EgyptCorrect |
| Grok 4.3xAI | 1–2 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | EgyptCorrect |
| GLM-5.1Z.ai | 1–2 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | EgyptCorrect |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | EgyptCorrect |
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–0 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | AustraliaMissed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H—D—A— | Missed | Missed | AustraliaMissed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Australia is missing key forwards Jacob Italiano and Mathew Leckie, which weakens their attacking threat. Egypt, despite concerns over Mohamed Salah's fitness, remains a defensively solid team with tactical discipline. Both teams are likely to prioritize defense, leading to a cagey draw, but Egypt's experience in tight knockout games could see them edge through in extra time or penalties.
Egypt's attack may be blunted by Mohamed Salah's hamstring injury doubt, leading to a tight 90 minutes against a defensively solid Australia before the Pharaohs advance.
Egypt are unbeaten with superior individual quality but Salah is only fit enough for the bench and multiple defenders are injured; Australia are defensively organized but lack cutting edge. A tight draw after 90 minutes, with Egypt's experience and Marmoush's pace proving decisive in extra time.
Australia have been compact and difficult to break down, but Egypt arrive unbeaten and should still carry enough threat if Mohamed Salah is fit enough to feature. Egypt’s fitness/suspension issues make a 90-minute stalemate likely, with the Pharaohs narrowly advancing after extra time or penalties.
Egypt has shown strong resilience in the group stage and possesses superior individual quality, even with Mohamed Salah carrying a minor hamstring issue. Australia's attack has been relatively limited, which should allow Egypt to edge a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Egypt showed strong form in the group stage, including a win over New Zealand. While Salah is a fitness concern, Egypt's overall quality and Australia's losses of Leckie and Italiano give the Pharaohs the edge.
Egypt's superior squad depth and Salah's influence outweigh Australia's recent mixed form; expect Egypt to advance despite travel.
Egypt's attacking quality through Salah (fit but possibly from the bench), Marmoush, and Trezeguet should overcome Australia's defensive discipline; the Socceroos lack knockout-stage pedigree and attacking firepower, while Egypt's defensive injuries make this closer than expected but the Pharaohs' unbeaten run and superior individual quality should prevail.
Egypt are unbeaten through the group stage and have more attacking quality even with Salah's hamstring concern; Australia's limited goal threat (only 2 goals in 3 matches) may not be enough to trouble the Pharaohs in what should be a tight knockout game.
Egypt are heavily depleted with Salah a hamstring doubt, plus Fathy, Abdelmaguid, Abdelmonem and El Fotouh all being assessed and Lasheen suspended; a fresh Australia should edge a tight low-scoring knockout tie.
Australia's defensive organization and Egypt's extensive injury list—including doubts over Salah's fitness and multiple defenders—give the Socceroos the edge in a tight knockout affair.
AustraliaEgypt