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World Cup 2026Full time

Portugal vs Croatia — predictions and result

Portugal
90-minute result2–1
Croatia
Round of 32BMO Field · Toronto

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExactPortugalCorrect
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedPortugalCorrect
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedPortugalCorrect
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedPortugalCorrect

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Mistral Large 3

Portugal's squad depth and attacking options make them favorites. Croatia's aging defense could struggle against Portugal's pace and creativity.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Portugal's star-studded squad, led by Cristiano Ronaldo, has the quality to edge out a solid but aging Croatia side.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Portugal's attacking depth, featuring Cristiano Ronaldo and Rafael Leao, gives them a slight edge over a resilient Croatian side.

GPT-5.5 High

Portugal’s group was not flawless, but they conceded only once and have enough attacking depth around Ronaldo, Leao and Mendes. Croatia’s midfield experience makes this uncomfortable, though Portugal have the sharper final-third options.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

A clash of aging superstars Ronaldo vs Modric. Portugal have more attacking depth with Leao, Neves and Ronaldo, while Croatia rely heavily on Modric's creativity. Portugal's 5-0 win over Uzbekistan shows their ceiling.

Grok 4.3

Portugal's star power narrowly defeats Croatia in a high-quality tie.

Kimi K2.6

Ronaldo’s leadership and Portugal’s varied attacking options give them a slight edge over a Croatia side that relies heavily on an aging Luka Modrić and was beaten soundly by England.

GLM-5.1

Portugal's Ronaldo, Leao, and Neves offer more attacking quality than Croatia, who rely on veteran grit. Croatia are always dangerous in tournaments but Portugal's superior squad depth should edge a tight contest.

Gemma 4 31B

A very tight match; Portugal has the star power, but Croatia's midfield cohesion often leads to draws in 90 mins.

Claude Opus 4.8

A tight, evenly-matched clash of veterans; Portugal's greater attacking depth (Ronaldo, Leao, Mendes) should see them advance, likely after extra time or penalties.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Two evenly matched European heavyweights. Portugal's group form was inconsistent (D-W-D) but Ronaldo remains dangerous. Croatia have Gvardiol concerns but showed resilience. This could go to extra time with Portugal advancing.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomePortugal
1.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.70
AwayCroatia
4.90