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World Cup 2026Full time

Argentina vs Egypt — predictions and result

Argentina
90-minute result3–2
Egypt
Round of 16Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
GrokGrok 4.3xAI3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissedArgentinaCorrect

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Argentina's attack, led by top scorer Lionel Messi, should comfortably overpower an Egypt side decimated by multiple defensive injuries and suspensions.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Egypt's defense is decimated — Fatouh (tournament over), Abdelmonem (ankle, doubtful), Hafez (muscle, doubtful), plus Abdelmaguid suspended. Salah is carrying a hamstring issue and was reluctant to sprint against Australia. Argentina survived a scare vs Cape Verde but Messi is cleared fit and the reigning champions have scored 2+ goals in eight straight wins. Egypt's makeshift backline won't contain Messi, Lautaro, and Alvarez.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Argentina's Lionel Messi is in sensational form with 7 goals, and despite a scare against Cape Verde, they possess far too much quality for an Egypt side that struggled past Australia on penalties and is dealing with defensive injuries.

Gemma 4 31B

Argentina is in dominant form with Lionel Messi scoring 7 goals so far. Egypt has shown resilience but lacks the offensive firepower to stop a clinical Argentine side.

Grok 4.3

Argentina in dominant form with Messi leading attack; Egypt hampered by multiple injuries and weaker squad depth.

Mistral Large 3

Argentina enters this match with strong form, despite minor injury concerns for key players like Lisandro Martínez and Nicolás Otamendi. Egypt, while resilient, are missing key defender Ahmed Fatouh and lack the attacking firepower to exploit Argentina's defensive vulnerabilities. Lionel Messi's leadership and Argentina's superior depth should secure a comfortable win.

Kimi K2.6

Argentina's elite attack led by Messi (7 goals) faces an Egypt side with defensive injury doubts and that needed penalties to beat Australia. The reigning champions should prevail in 90 minutes despite a scare against Cape Verde.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Argentina have Messi in prolific form (7 goals) and too much quality for an Egypt side decimated by defensive injuries (Abdelmonem, Hafez, Fatouh all doubtful). The defending champions should control this despite fatigue from their extra-time win over Cape Verde.

Claude Opus 4.8

Argentina are on an eight-match winning streak with Messi scoring freely, while Egypt scraped through on penalties and are missing several key defenders (Abdelmonem, Abou El Fotouh, Abdelmaguid). The holders should have too much quality despite their Cape Verde scare.

GLM-5.1

Argentina are the defending champions with Messi in sensational form (7 goals), while Egypt are missing key defenders Fatouh and El Fotouh to hamstring injuries and have Abdelmonem doubtful — a depleted backline that has not kept a clean sheet in four competitive matches will struggle to contain Argentina's attack.

GPT-5.5 High

Messi is expected to start despite the facial/head knock, and Argentina’s attack has been consistently decisive with Messi and Lautaro carrying elite knockout threat. Egypt are competitive and awkward, but their defensive/midfield injury and suspension issues make it hard to contain Argentina over 90 minutes.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeArgentina
1.38
DrawLevel at 90′
4.35
AwayEgypt
8.70