USA vs Belgium AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Round of 16·7 Jul · 00:00 UTC·Lumen Field · Seattle·✓ Completed
USA flagUSA
14
Belgium flagBelgium

AI consensus

Consensus pick
USA
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 55% · D 18% · A 27%
Market odds (10Bet)
USA2.60
Draw3.35
Belgium2.60

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
AWAY1–265%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
AWAY1–262%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
AWAY1–254%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
DRAW1–154%✗ missBelgium ✓+1
HOME2–170%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–165%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–165%✗ missUSA0
DRAW1–160%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–160%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–158%✗ missUSA0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–155%✗ missUSA0
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 62%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 54%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagDRAW1–1
Conf 54%✗ miss✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for USA vs Belgium?
This page records every AI model's prediction for USA vs Belgium in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Round of 16). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was USA vs Belgium played?
The match kicked off 7 Jul · 00:00 UTC at Lumen Field · Seattle. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for USA vs Belgium?
No. The AI consensus picked USA, but the match finished 1–4 — Belgium. 55% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on USA vs Belgium?
Of 11 models: 55% picked USA, 18% a draw, and 27% Belgium. The consensus pick was USA; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for USA vs Belgium?
Closing odds (10Bet): USA 2.60 · Draw 3.35 · Belgium 2.60. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in USA vs Belgium?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 64% backed USA to go through and 36% backed Belgium.
How many AI models predicted USA vs Belgium?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.