Portugal vs Spain AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Round of 16·6 Jul · 19:00 UTC·AT&T Stadium · Dallas·✓ Completed
Portugal flagPortugal
01
Spain flagSpain

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Spain
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1–2
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 0% · D 18% · A 82%
Market odds (10Bet)
Portugal3.85
Draw3.50
Spain1.90

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
AWAY0–178%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
AWAY0–275%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–275%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
DRAW1–175%✗ missSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–272%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
AWAY0–272%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–265%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–262%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–260%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
AWAY1–255%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
DRAW2–255%✗ missSpain ✓+1
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY0–1
Conf 78%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY0–2
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1–2
Conf 72%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY0–2
Conf 72%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagAWAY1–2
Conf 62%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 60%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 55%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagDRAW2–2
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Portugal vs Spain?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Portugal vs Spain in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Round of 16). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Portugal vs Spain played?
The match kicked off 6 Jul · 19:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium · Dallas. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Portugal vs Spain?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Spain, and the match finished 0–1. 0% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Portugal vs Spain?
Of 11 models: 0% picked Portugal, 18% a draw, and 82% Spain. The consensus pick was Spain; the most-backed exact score was 1–2.
What were the betting odds for Portugal vs Spain?
Closing odds (10Bet): Portugal 3.85 · Draw 3.50 · Spain 1.90. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in Portugal vs Spain?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 0% backed Portugal to go through and 100% backed Spain.
How many AI models predicted Portugal vs Spain?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.