Mexico vs England AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Round of 16·6 Jul · 01:00 UTC·Estadio Banorte · Mexico City·✓ Completed
Mexico flagMexico
23
England flagEngland

AI consensus

Consensus pick
England
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1–2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 36% · D 18% · A 45%
Market odds (10Bet)
Mexico3.00
Draw3.15
England2.40

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
AWAY0–180%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–270%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–270%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
DRAW1–165%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–265%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–252%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
DRAW1–152%✗ missEngland ✓+1
HOME1–065%✗ missMexico0
HOME2–162%✗ missMexico0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–158%✗ missMexico0
HOME1–055%✗ missMexico0
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY0–1
Conf 80%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 70%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 70%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 52%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagDRAW1–1
Conf 52%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1–0
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactMexico0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 62%✗ miss✗ exactMexico0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactMexico0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME1–0
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactMexico0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Mexico vs England?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Mexico vs England in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Round of 16). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Mexico vs England played?
The match kicked off 6 Jul · 01:00 UTC at Estadio Banorte · Mexico City. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Mexico vs England?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was England, and the match finished 2–3. 36% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Mexico vs England?
Of 11 models: 36% picked Mexico, 18% a draw, and 45% England. The consensus pick was England; the most-backed exact score was 1–2.
What were the betting odds for Mexico vs England?
Closing odds (10Bet): Mexico 3.00 · Draw 3.15 · England 2.40. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in Mexico vs England?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 36% backed Mexico to go through and 64% backed England.
How many AI models predicted Mexico vs England?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.