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World Cup 2026Full time

Brazil vs Norway — predictions and result

Brazil
90-minute result1–2
Norway
Round of 16MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExactAdvance
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissedBrazilMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Brazil's attacking firepower, led by an in-form Vinícius Júnior and the return of Neymar, should be too much for a Norwegian defense that previously leaked four goals against France, even with Haaland's constant threat.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Brazil has shown strong form with three consecutive wins and a potent attack led by Vinicius Junior and Matheus Cunha, which should prove too strong for a Norway side heavily reliant on Erling Haaland.

Gemma 4 31B

Brazil is in excellent form with three consecutive wins and a potent attack led by Vinícius Júnior. While missing Raphinha and Paquetá, their overall squad depth and experience in knockout stages give them the edge over Norway.

Grok 4.3

Brazil's superior depth and attacking firepower (Vinicius, Cunha) outweigh Norway's Haaland threat despite Raphinha absence; recent form and knockout experience favor Selecao.

Mistral Large 3

Brazil are missing key players like Raphinha and have fitness concerns over Casemiro, but their depth and attacking prowess, combined with Norway's defensive vulnerabilities, should see them through. Norway's all-or-nothing approach could leave them exposed at the back.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Brazil's attacking depth (Vinícius Jr, Cunha) and settled defense give them the edge despite missing Paqueta. Norway's defense was torn apart 4-1 by France — a comparable elite attack — and while Haaland will score, Brazil's overall quality and Ancelotti's tactical adjustments should see them through a tight contest.

Kimi K2.6

Brazil's superior squad depth and Vinicius Jr's outstanding form (4 goals) should overcome Norway despite missing Raphinha and Lucas Paqueta. Norway relies heavily on Haaland and Brazil's defense has been solid.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Brazil have won their last 3 and Vinicius Junior (4 goals) is in superb form, but Haaland (5 goals, scored in 13 straight competitive internationals) will keep Norway dangerous. Brazil's superior squad depth, Ancelotti's tactical adjustments (shown vs Japan), and their strong R16 record (9/10 progressed) should see them through, though Norway's historic unbeaten record vs Brazil (W1 D3) and full-strength availability keep it tight.

Claude Opus 4.8

Brazil are in excellent form (three straight wins) with Vinícius Júnior firing and their preferred XI largely intact despite Paquetá's hamstring injury. Norway are dangerous through Haaland and Ødegaard, but Brazil's overall quality and depth should edge a tight knockout tie.

GLM-5.1

Brazil are favored despite losing Raphinha and the doubt over Paquetá, as Vinicius Junior's tournament form (4 goals) and Bruno Guimarães' creativity (4 assists) give them the edge. Norway's Haaland (5 goals, 13 consecutive scoring internationals) will test Brazil's backline, but Norway's defensive vulnerabilities—exposed in the 4-1 loss to France—should allow Brazil's superior attack to outscore them in a competitive match.

GPT-5.5 High

Brazil are missing Raphinha and have midfield fitness concerns around Paqueta/Casemiro, but their front line led by Vinicius Junior and Cunha has been consistently productive. Norway’s Haaland-Odegaard axis is dangerous enough to score, yet Brazil’s overall depth and knockout experience make them slight 90-minute favourites.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeBrazil
1.75
DrawLevel at 90′
3.65
AwayNorway
4.50