Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Mistral Large 3
Morocco have shown strong form in the tournament and possess a more experienced squad. Canada are missing key midfielder Ismael Kone due to injury, which weakens their midfield. Morocco's attacking prowess and defensive solidity make them favorites to advance.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Morocco are full-strength with Saibari (3 goals) in red-hot form under new coach Ouahbi's possession system, while Canada miss Koné (broken leg) and have never beaten Morocco in four attempts. The Atlas Lions' extra quality and knockout experience from 2022 should prove decisive.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Morocco has looked formidable, eliminating the Netherlands, while Canada will struggle without key midfielder Ismaël Koné who is out with a broken leg.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Morocco has shown incredible resilience and tactical discipline, advancing past the Netherlands in the previous round, while Canada continues to miss key midfielder Ismaël Koné due to injury.
Kimi K2.6
Morocco's unbeaten tournament run and pedigree as AFCON champions and 2022 semifinalists gives them the edge over World Cup debutants Canada, even with Alphonso Davies potentially returning.
Gemma 4 31B
Morocco has shown great resilience and tactical discipline, recently knocking out the Netherlands. Canada is missing Ismael Kone and has struggled for consistency despite a strong win over Qatar.
GLM-5.1
Morocco are at near full strength with Saibari in superb form (3 goals, key vs Netherlands), while Canada miss Koné (broken leg) and Davies is unlikely to start after only a 75th-min sub appearance. Morocco's penalty shootout resilience and superior individual quality (Hakimi, Mazraoui, Brahim Diaz) should edge a Canada side that needed a 90th-minute goal to beat South Africa.
Grok 4.3
Morocco's strong recent form (DWW) and defensive resilience edge out Canada despite the latter's attacking threat.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Morocco have a near-full squad with Ismael Saibari in superb form (4 goals) and showed mental toughness beating Netherlands on penalties. Canada are missing Ismael Koné (broken ankle) and Alphonso Davies is only just returning to fitness; Morocco's superior attacking quality should edge this.
Claude Opus 4.8
Morocco arrive injury-free and in strong form after edging the Netherlands, while Canada lost Koné to a broken leg and Jones, with Davies only just returning to fitness — Morocco's cohesion and attacking depth (Saibari, Hakimi) give them the edge.
GPT-5.5 High
Canada have had extra rest and enough defensive structure to keep this close, but they are missing Ismael Kone while Morocco arrive unbeaten and with stronger individual quality in Hakimi, Bono and Saibari. Morocco may need extra time or penalties again, but their knockout resilience gives them the edge to advance.