Norway vs England AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Quarter-final·11 Jul · 21:00 UTC·Hard Rock Stadium · Miami·✓ Completed
Norway flagNorway
12(1–1 after 90 min)
England flagEngland

AI consensus

Consensus pick
England
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1–2
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 0% · D 27% · A 73%
Market odds (10Bet)
Norway3.85
Draw3.65
England1.86

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
DRAW1–175%✓ hitEngland ✓+2
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
DRAW1–155%✓ hitEngland ✓+2
AWAY1–275%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–275%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–270%✗ missEngland ✓+1
DRAW2–268%✓ hitEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–265%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–262%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–258%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–258%✗ missEngland ✓+1
AWAY1–257%✗ missEngland ✓+1
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exactEngland ✓+2 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1–1
Conf 55%✓ hit✓ exactEngland ✓+2 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1–2
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW2–2
Conf 68%✓ hit✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 62%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagAWAY1–2
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1–2
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 57%✗ miss✗ exactEngland ✓+1 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Norway vs England?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Norway vs England in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Quarter-final). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Norway vs England played?
The match kicked off 11 Jul · 21:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium · Miami. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Norway vs England?
No. The AI consensus picked England, but the match finished 1–1 (1–2 AET) — a draw. 73% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Norway vs England?
Of 11 models: 0% picked Norway, 27% a draw, and 73% England. The consensus pick was England; the most-backed exact score was 1–2.
What were the betting odds for Norway vs England?
Closing odds (10Bet): Norway 3.85 · Draw 3.65 · England 1.86. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in Norway vs England?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 0% backed Norway to go through and 100% backed England.
How many AI models predicted Norway vs England?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.