Spain vs Belgium AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Quarter-final·10 Jul · 19:00 UTC·SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles·✓ Completed
Spain flagSpain
21
Belgium flagBelgium

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Spain
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2–0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (10Bet)
Spain1.62
Draw3.85
Belgium5.20

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
HOME2–178%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
HOME2–175%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
HOME2–172%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
HOME2–165%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–158%✓ hitSpain ✓+2
HOME2–078%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
HOME2–078%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
HOME2–075%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
HOME2–075%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
HOME2–068%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
HOME1–063%✓ hitSpain ✓+1
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 78%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 72%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✓ hit✓ exactSpain ✓+2 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–0
Conf 78%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–0
Conf 78%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–0
Conf 68%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME1–0
Conf 63%✓ hit✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Spain vs Belgium?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Spain vs Belgium in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Quarter-final). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Spain vs Belgium played?
The match kicked off 10 Jul · 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Spain vs Belgium?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Spain, and the match finished 2–1. 100% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Spain vs Belgium?
Of 11 models: 100% picked Spain, 0% a draw, and 0% Belgium. The consensus pick was Spain; the most-backed exact score was 2–0.
What were the betting odds for Spain vs Belgium?
Closing odds (10Bet): Spain 1.62 · Draw 3.85 · Belgium 5.20. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
Who did the AI models pick to advance in Spain vs Belgium?
Knockout fixtures ask for the team to advance rather than the 90-minute result. 100% backed Spain to go through and 0% backed Belgium.
How many AI models predicted Spain vs Belgium?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.