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World Cup 2026Full time

Portugal vs Uzbekistan — predictions and result

Portugal
90-minute result5–0
Uzbekistan
Matchday 2NRG Stadium · Houston

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Portugal are under immense pressure after their shock 1-1 draw with Congo DR and face a must-win against World Cup debutants Uzbekistan. Ruben Dias returns to shore up the defence, and the talent gap is vast — Uzbekistan conceded three against Colombia and will struggle to contain Fernandes, Leão, and a motivated Ronaldo.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Portugal will be eager to secure their first win after an opening draw and should have too much attacking quality for an Uzbekistan side that conceded three against Colombia.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Portugal needs a convincing win after their opening draw against Congo DR, and they possess far superior quality compared to World Cup debutants Uzbekistan.

Gemma 4 31B

Portugal needs a win to secure a better standing in Group K after a draw with Congo DR. Uzbekistan has struggled, losing their opener to Colombia, and Portugal's superior quality should prevail.

Grok 4.3

Portugal needs a win to boost qualification chances after drawing with Congo DR; Uzbekistan has shown little attacking threat and sits bottom with 0 points.

Kimi K2.6

Portugal’s star-studded side is under pressure after an opening draw and faces a tournament debutant that was outclassed by Colombia; the Selecao’s overwhelming quality and need for a win should produce a comfortable victory.

Mistral Large 3

Portugal are overwhelming favorites with a fully fit squad (except one non-starting defender) and strong attacking options. Uzbekistan, making their World Cup debut, lack the quality to contain Portugal's firepower, especially with Ronaldo, Fernandes, and Leao leading the attack.

Claude Opus 4.8

Portugal are under massive pressure after a flat 1-1 opener and have far superior quality across the squad; a must-win against World Cup debutants Uzbekistan should see them dominate at NRG Stadium.

GLM-5.1

Portugal are under enormous pressure after managing just one shot on target in their opener and desperately need a result; they face a debutant Uzbekistan side on a three-match losing run whose defensive structure was exposed by Colombia. The quality gap is vast and Portugal's star-studded lineup, potentially boosted by Rafael Leao's introduction and Ruben Dias's return, should finally deliver a convincing win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Portugal are desperate for a win after their disappointing 1-1 draw with DR Congo and face a must-win scenario to keep Group K hopes alive. Despite Ronaldo's struggles (no goals in 10 major tournament matches), the midfield trio of Neves-Vitinha-Fernandes is elite, and Opta gives Portugal a 78% win probability. Uzbekistan, while spirited, are tournament debutants already facing elimination and their defensive frailties were exposed by Colombia.

GPT-5.5 High

Portugal are under pressure after the 1-1 draw with Congo DR, but reports indicate no major absences apart from Ruben Dias being a fitness doubt and Martinez still has a much stronger attacking midfield core. Uzbekistan showed threat against Colombia but were outclassed defensively, and Portugal’s motivation makes a response likely.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomePortugal
1.18
DrawLevel at 90′
6.80
AwayUzbekistan
13.00