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World Cup 2026Full time

New Zealand vs Egypt — predictions and result

New Zealand
90-minute result1–3
Egypt
Matchday 2BC Place · Vancouver

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Egypt outplayed Belgium for long stretches in their opener and have the attacking quality of Salah, Marmoush, and Ashour to break down a New Zealand defense that conceded twice to Iran. The All Whites showed spirit with Elijah Just's brace but Egypt's greater tournament experience and overall squad depth should secure their first-ever World Cup win.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Egypt's impressive draw against group favorites Belgium shows their resilience, and their attacking quality should be enough to overcome New Zealand in a tight contest.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Egypt showed impressive tactical discipline in their draw against Belgium and, led by Mohamed Salah, they have the quality to overcome a competitive New Zealand team.

Gemma 4 31B

Egypt has a superior technical squad led by Mohamed Salah and no reported injuries. New Zealand showed spirit in their draw with Iran, but Egypt's quality should be enough to secure a win.

Grok 4.3

Egypt possess match-winners like Salah and more pedigree than New Zealand, who drew with Iran; a win keeps Egypt's qualification hopes alive.

GLM-5.1

Egypt have a clear edge in individual quality with Salah, Marmoush, and Ashour, who combined effectively vs Belgium, and coach Hassan has dismissed any squad unrest. New Zealand showed resilience vs Iran but rely heavily on Chris Wood and Elijah Just, and Egypt's superior attacking threat should finally deliver their first-ever World Cup win in a match both sides desperately need.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Egypt showed higher quality against Belgium with Salah orchestrating and Ashour finishing, and should have enough to edge a spirited but defensively vulnerable New Zealand side who twice surrendered leads against Iran.

GPT-5.5 High

New Zealand’s Elijah Just and Chris Wood give them a real route to goal, but Egypt looked tactically solid and dangerous in their draw with Belgium, with Salah and Marmoush offering higher-end attacking quality. With no fresh Egypt injury concerns and both teams needing a win in a wide-open group, Egypt are the slightly stronger pick.

Claude Opus 4.8

Egypt boast more attacking firepower with Salah and Marmoush, and the coach has signaled a multi-threat approach; New Zealand are gritty and unbeaten in draws, but Egypt's quality should edge a tight contest as both chase a first World Cup win.

Mistral Large 3

Both New Zealand and Egypt have shown resilience in their opening draws, with New Zealand’s attacking threat (Just’s form) and Egypt’s defensive solidity likely to cancel each other out. A tight, low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.

Kimi K2.6

Both New Zealand and Egypt are evenly matched and desperate for a first-ever World Cup win, with each surrendering leads in their openers. New Zealand's Elijah Just is in scoring form and Chris Wood provides a focal point, while Egypt relies on a diminished Mohamed Salah. Neither side has clear dominance, making a cagey draw the most likely outcome in a tight Group G.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeNew Zealand
6.00
DrawLevel at 90′
3.95
AwayEgypt
1.54