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World Cup 2026Full time

New Zealand vs Belgium — predictions and result

New Zealand
90-minute result1–5
Belgium
Matchday 3BC Place · Vancouver

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–3
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–3
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Belgium has struggled in front of goal so far, but they possess vastly superior quality. Facing a New Zealand defense that has already conceded five goals, the Red Devils should secure the victory they need to advance.

Kimi K2.6

The Opta supercomputer gives Belgium an 80.3% win chance and they hold a massive quality advantage over a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup finals match; the Red Devils should finally convert their dominance into a comfortable victory.

Mistral Large 3

Belgium, despite injuries and illness, remains a superior side with world-class talent like De Bruyne and Lukaku. New Zealand's lack of depth and experience in high-stakes matches will likely see them outclassed.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Belgium have been profligate (1 goal from 69 shots across two tournaments) but face a New Zealand side that has never won a World Cup match in eight attempts and has conceded five goals in two group games. Doku is back in camp, De Bruyne and Lukaku are due a breakthrough, and Belgium are unbeaten in 15 matches overall. NZ's Chris Wood will play but Belgium's superior quality — even with Ngoy suspended — should finally translate into a comfortable, must-win victory.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Belgium desperately needs a win to guarantee qualification, and their superior quality should comfortably overcome a New Zealand side that has struggled defensively.

Grok 4.3

Belgium remain far superior despite listed injuries; New Zealand have zero prior World Cup wins and face a must-win Belgium side still pushing for qualification.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Belgium's desperation to qualify combined with vastly superior quality (De Bruyne, Trossard, Lukaku, and Doku's potential return from illness) should overwhelm New Zealand, who have never won at a World Cup finals and have conceded 5 goals in 2 group games. Belgium's profligacy is a concern but 69 shots since their last WC goal suggests a breakout is overdue against the group's weakest side.

Gemma 4 31B

Belgium is desperate for points after two draws and needs a win to ensure progression. While New Zealand has shown spirit, Belgium's superior quality and the need for a result make them strong favorites.

GLM-5.1

Belgium's 15-match unbeaten run and vastly superior squad depth should overcome New Zealand, who have never won a World Cup match; despite Belgium's scoring drought and absences (Ngoy suspended, Debast injured, Doku ill), De Bruyne and Lukaku have too much quality for the All Whites' defense.

GPT-5.5 High

Belgium have underperformed with two draws but still carry far more attacking quality, and New Zealand’s defence looked vulnerable against Egypt. Ngoy is suspended and Debast/Doku concerns reduce Belgium’s margin, but with qualification likely requiring a win, De Bruyne and Lukaku should have enough.

Claude Opus 4.8

Belgium have a clear quality edge (Courtois, De Bruyne, Lukaku, Tielemans, Doku potentially back) and must win to advance, while New Zealand are the group's weakest side; only Ngoy is suspended for Belgium.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeNew Zealand
12.50
DrawLevel at 90′
7.10
AwayBelgium
1.18