Netherlands vs Japan AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 1·14 Jun · 20:00 UTC·AT&T Stadium · Arlington·✓ Completed
Netherlands flagNetherlands
22
Japan flagJapan

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Netherlands
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 91% · D 9% · A 0%
Market odds (10Bet)
Netherlands2.05
Draw3.50
Japan3.50

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
DRAW1–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✗ miss0
HOME2–175%✗ miss0
HOME2–072%✗ miss0
HOME2–172%✗ miss0
HOME2–170%✗ miss0
HOME2–168%✗ miss0
HOME2–165%✗ miss0
HOME2–158%✗ miss0
HOME2–155%✗ miss0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–155%✗ miss0
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–0
Conf 72%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 72%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Netherlands vs Japan?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Netherlands vs Japan in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Netherlands vs Japan played?
The match kicked off 14 Jun · 20:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium · Arlington. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Netherlands vs Japan?
No. The AI consensus picked Netherlands, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 91% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Netherlands vs Japan?
Of 11 models: 91% picked Netherlands, 9% a draw, and 0% Japan. The consensus pick was Netherlands; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for Netherlands vs Japan?
Closing odds (10Bet): Netherlands 2.05 · Draw 3.50 · Japan 3.50. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Netherlands vs Japan?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.