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World Cup 2026Full time

Mexico vs South Korea — predictions and result

Mexico
90-minute result1–0
South Korea
Matchday 2Estadio Akron · Zapopan

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI1–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Mistral Large 3

Mexico are riding high after their opening win and have a strong home advantage in Guadalajara. South Korea, despite their talent, are dealing with internal distractions and minor injury concerns, which could affect their performance.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Co-hosts Mexico will benefit from home support in Guadalajara and their strong defensive form to secure back-to-back wins against a competitive South Korea.

Gemma 4 31B

Mexico is playing at home in Guadalajara and comes off a confident 2-0 win. While South Korea is in good form and controlled possession in their opener, Mexico's home advantage and clinical finishing (Jimenez) make them favorites.

GLM-5.1

Mexico's home advantage in Guadalajara is massive, and they enter in superb form (7W 2D in last 9). Montes' suspension is a concern but Edson Alvarez can slot into CB. South Korea's media boycott over the Son Heung-min controversy is an unwelcome distraction before their toughest group match, and while they showed resilience vs Czechia, Mexico's quality and partisan crowd should edge it.

Grok 4.3

Mexico enjoy home advantage and strong recent results while South Korea remain competitive but lack the edge in a must-win Group A clash.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Mexico's home advantage at Estadio Akron and strong form (7W-2D in last 9) give them the edge despite César Montes' suspension forcing Edson Álvarez into defence. Raúl Jiménez has scored in his last two appearances against South Korea, and Son Heung-min was wasteful against Czechia (six shots, one on target), while Mexico's attack has been clinical.

Kimi K2.6

Mexico carry momentum and a formidable home crowd in Guadalajara, and although South Korea are dangerous, El Tri are the Opta supercomputer’s narrow favorite even without the suspended César Montes.

Claude Opus 4.8

Mexico hold the home advantage at Estadio Akron and won their opener despite Montes's late red card, while Quinones is a doubt; South Korea are organized and dangerous through Son, making this a tight but likely Mexican edge in front of their crowd.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Mexico have the enormous advantage of co-hosting at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara. Despite losing captain César Montes to suspension, Mexico's depth (Edson Álvarez steps in) and Raúl Jiménez's strong record vs South Korea tip the balance. South Korea showed resilience vs Czechia but face a significantly tougher test in a hostile stadium.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Mexico enjoys home advantage but will miss suspended center-back Cesar Montes and potentially goalscorer Julian Quinones, allowing a strong South Korean side to secure a hard-fought draw.

GPT-5.5 High

Both Mexico and South Korea opened with wins, so a point would leave each side in a strong qualification position and should encourage some caution. Mexico have home advantage in Guadalajara, but South Korea's transition threat and defensive spine make them capable of taking a result.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeMexico
2.02
DrawLevel at 90′
3.20
AwaySouth Korea
3.95