Mexico vs South Africa AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 1·11 Jun · 19:00 UTC·Estadio Banorte · Mexico City·✓ Completed
Mexico flagMexico
20
South Africa flagSouth Africa

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Mexico
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2–0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (bet365)
Mexico1.42
Draw4.33
South Africa8.50

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
HOME2–085%✓ hit+2
HOME2–085%✓ hit+2
HOME2–085%✓ hit+2
HOME2–085%✓ hit+2
HOME2–085%✓ hit+2
HOME2–075%✓ hit+2
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–075%✓ hit+2
HOME2–072%✓ hit+2
HOME2–072%✓ hit+2
HOME2–072%✓ hit+2
HOME2–068%✓ hit+2
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–0
Conf 85%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 85%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 85%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–0
Conf 85%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–0
Conf 85%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–0
Conf 72%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–0
Conf 72%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–0
Conf 72%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–0
Conf 68%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Mexico vs South Africa?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Mexico vs South Africa in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Mexico vs South Africa played?
The match kicked off 11 Jun · 19:00 UTC at Estadio Banorte · Mexico City. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Mexico vs South Africa?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Mexico, and the match finished 2–0. 100% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Mexico vs South Africa?
Of 11 models: 100% picked Mexico, 0% a draw, and 0% South Africa. The consensus pick was Mexico; the most-backed exact score was 2–0.
What were the betting odds for Mexico vs South Africa?
Closing odds (bet365): Mexico 1.42 · Draw 4.33 · South Africa 8.50. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Mexico vs South Africa?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.