Japan vs Sweden AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 3·25 Jun · 23:00 UTC·AT&T Stadium · Arlington·✓ Completed
Japan flagJapan
11
Sweden flagSweden

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Japan
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 73% · D 9% · A 18%
Market odds (10Bet)
Japan1.90
Draw3.35
Sweden4.10

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
DRAW1–142%✓ hit+2
HOME2–175%✗ miss0
HOME2–172%✗ miss0
HOME2–170%✗ miss0
AWAY1–268%✗ miss0
HOME2–165%✗ miss0
HOME2–165%✗ miss0
HOME2–165%✗ miss0
HOME2–160%✗ miss0
HOME2–156%✗ miss0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
AWAY1–255%✗ miss0
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagDRAW1–1
Conf 42%✓ hit✓ exact+2 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 72%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1–2
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 56%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1–2
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Japan vs Sweden?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Japan vs Sweden in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Japan vs Sweden played?
The match kicked off 25 Jun · 23:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium · Arlington. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Japan vs Sweden?
No. The AI consensus picked Japan, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 73% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Japan vs Sweden?
Of 11 models: 73% picked Japan, 9% a draw, and 18% Sweden. The consensus pick was Japan; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for Japan vs Sweden?
Closing odds (10Bet): Japan 1.90 · Draw 3.35 · Sweden 4.10. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Japan vs Sweden?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.