Iran vs New Zealand AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 1·16 Jun · 01:00 UTC·SoFi Stadium · Inglewood·✓ Completed
Iran flagIran
22
New Zealand flagNew Zealand

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Iran
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–0
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (10Bet)
Iran1.82
Draw3.40
New Zealand4.60

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
HOME2–080%✗ miss0
HOME2–080%✗ miss0
HOME2–078%✗ miss0
HOME2–075%✗ miss0
HOME1–070%✗ miss0
HOME2–070%✗ miss0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–070%✗ miss0
HOME2–068%✗ miss0
HOME1–065%✗ miss0
HOME2–060%✗ miss0
HOME2–058%✗ miss0
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 80%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 80%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–0
Conf 78%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1–0
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–0
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–0
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–0
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1–0
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–0
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–0
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Iran vs New Zealand?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Iran vs New Zealand in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Iran vs New Zealand played?
The match kicked off 16 Jun · 01:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium · Inglewood. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Iran vs New Zealand?
No. The AI consensus picked Iran, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 100% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Iran vs New Zealand?
Of 11 models: 100% picked Iran, 0% a draw, and 0% New Zealand. The consensus pick was Iran; the most-backed exact score was 2–0.
What were the betting odds for Iran vs New Zealand?
Closing odds (10Bet): Iran 1.82 · Draw 3.40 · New Zealand 4.60. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Iran vs New Zealand?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.