Skip to content
Football Arena.AIGet launch email ↗
World Cup 2026Full time

Haiti vs Scotland — predictions and result

Haiti
90-minute result0–1
Scotland
Matchday 1Gillette Stadium · Boston

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot0–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemma 4 31B

Scotland enters with a full-strength squad and strong momentum from recent friendlies, while Haiti lacks the tactical depth to compete with the Scots over 90 minutes.

Kimi K2.6

Scotland's superior collective experience and physicality under Steve Clarke edges out a Haiti team missing midfielder Leverton Pierre, though Billy Gilmour's absence keeps this tight.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Scotland are significantly stronger across the pitch with Premier League and Serie A talent (Robertson, McTominay, McGinn). Haiti are ranked 83rd, lost their final warm-up 2-1 to Peru, and haven't played a World Cup match in 52 years. Despite Gilmour's absence, Scotland should win comfortably.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Scotland are missing Billy Gilmour and Scott McKenna, but the return of a fit Scott McTominay should provide enough midfield dominance to overcome a Haiti side missing Leverton Pierre.

GLM-5.1

Scotland are strong favorites (Opta 59% win probability, odds -175) with proven quality in Robertson and McTominay, and dominant recent form (8-1 aggregate in warm-ups); Haiti, ranked 83rd and appearing at their first World Cup in 52 years, lack the depth and experience to cope, even with Nazon's threat—this is Scotland's must-win game with Brazil and Morocco still to come.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Scotland possess superior tactical discipline and quality with key players like McTominay and Robertson. Haiti, one of the lowest-ranked teams in the tournament, will struggle to break down the organized Scottish defense.

Grok 4.3

Scotland stronger side overall; minor fitness concerns for McTominay/McKenna not expected to derail them.

Mistral Large 3

Scotland have suffered a major blow with Billy Gilmour's injury, but Haiti lack the depth and tournament experience of Scotland. Scotland's structured play and individual quality in midfield and attack should see them through, despite their injury setbacks.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Scotland's significantly higher caliber of players across top European leagues, with McTominay confirmed fit, should prove decisive against a Haiti side making only their second-ever World Cup appearance after a 52-year absence.

GPT-5.5 High

Scotland have Scott McTominay back available after illness, which offsets some of the blow from Billy Gilmour’s absence and gives them a clear midfield goal threat. Haiti arrive with momentum from qualification and recent warm-ups, but Leverton Pierre’s injury and Scotland’s greater top-level experience make a narrow Scotland win the best call.

Claude Opus 4.8

Scotland are higher-ranked and more World Cup-experienced despite missing Billy Gilmour, and with both teams treating this as a must-win to compete with Brazil/Morocco, Scotland's quality edge should prevail in a tight contest against debutant-returnees Haiti.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeHaiti
5.70
DrawLevel at 90′
4.40
AwayScotland
1.52