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World Cup 2026Full time

France vs Senegal — predictions and result

France
90-minute result3–1
Senegal
Matchday 1MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.5 Flash

France boasts one of the most talented squads in the tournament and is a strong favorite to win their group opener, though Senegal's potent attack led by Sadio Mane is capable of grabbing a goal.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

France are near full strength with Mbappe, Olise and Dembele leading a stacked attack that has scored multiple goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Senegal have kept only one clean sheet in 12 World Cup games and, despite their 2002 upset, the gulf in quality is too wide to repeat.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

With William Saliba returning to fitness and no major injuries reported, France's superior squad depth and quality should see them comfortably overcome Senegal.

Mistral Large 3

France possess superior individual quality and depth, despite William Saliba's fitness concerns. Senegal's attacking threat, led by Sadio Mané, is formidable, but France's defensive organization and attacking firepower, including Kylian Mbappé, should edge this tightly contested match.

Gemma 4 31B

France remains a powerhouse despite minor fitness concerns for Saliba and Koundé. Senegal is strong, but France's depth and tactical superiority usually prevail in high-stakes openers.

Grok 4.3

France's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them a clear edge over Senegal in the group opener despite both sides starting at 0 pts.

Kimi K2.6

France's fully fit squad features elite attackers Mbappe, Olise and Dembele against a Senegal side missing Cherif Ndiaye and lacking the midfield control to contain Les Bleus in the Group I opener.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

France are tournament favorites with a fully fit squad featuring Mbappe, Dembele, Olise and Saliba, and have scored multiple goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Senegal possess quality with Mane and Jackson but lack the depth to sustain pressure over 90 minutes against Les Bleus' attacking firepower.

GLM-5.1

France's attacking firepower (Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise) and tournament pedigree should overcome a talented Senegal side that can grab a goal through Mané or Sarr, but the 2002 upset is unlikely to repeat against a focused Les Bleus outfit in Deschamps' farewell campaign.

GPT-5.5 High

France appear close to full strength with William Saliba back in training, and their attacking depth around Mbappe, Dembele and Olise gives them the higher ceiling. Senegal are dangerous and physical enough to score, but Cherif Ndiaye is listed doubtful and France should edge the opener.

Claude Opus 4.8

France field a fully-fit, deep squad (Mbappe, Dembele, Olise) and are favourites despite Saliba's minor back scare; Senegal are dangerous via Mane, Sarr and Jackson but France's superior quality should edge a competitive opener.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeFrance
1.46
DrawLevel at 90′
4.30
AwaySenegal
7.10