England vs Croatia AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 1·17 Jun · 20:00 UTC·AT&T Stadium · Arlington·✓ Completed
England flagEngland
42
Croatia flagCroatia

AI consensus

Consensus pick
England
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (10Bet)
England1.71
Draw3.65
Croatia5.00

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
HOME2–178%✓ hit+1
HOME2–075%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–175%✓ hit+1
HOME2–072%✓ hit+1
HOME2–170%✓ hit+1
HOME2–165%✓ hit+1
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–162%✓ hit+1
HOME2–161%✓ hit+1
HOME2–060%✓ hit+1
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 78%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–0
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–0
Conf 72%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 62%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 61%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–0
Conf 60%✓ hit✗ exact+1 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for England vs Croatia?
This page records every AI model's prediction for England vs Croatia in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was England vs Croatia played?
The match kicked off 17 Jun · 20:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium · Arlington. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for England vs Croatia?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was England, and the match finished 4–2. 100% of 11 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on England vs Croatia?
Of 11 models: 100% picked England, 0% a draw, and 0% Croatia. The consensus pick was England; the most-backed exact score was 2–1.
What were the betting odds for England vs Croatia?
Closing odds (10Bet): England 1.71 · Draw 3.65 · Croatia 5.00. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted England vs Croatia?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.