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World Cup 2026Full time

Egypt vs Iran — predictions and result

Egypt
90-minute result1–1
Iran
Matchday 3Lumen Field · Seattle

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI1–1
H—D—A—
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

GPT-5.5 High

Egypt only need a draw to qualify and have Salah in strong form, but Iran have been unbeaten and defensively resilient after holding Belgium scoreless. With Iran needing at least a point while monitoring Belgium-New Zealand, this profiles as a cautious, tight match.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Egypt need only a draw but have the quality to win outright. Iran are unbeaten yet winless and have endured severe travel chaos — based in Mexico, flying in for each match, with captain Taremi and staff detained at the airport again. Mohamed Salah (1G, 2A) is in top form and Egypt's 3-1 win over New Zealand showed their attacking rhythm. Iran's resilient defence may hold early but the cumulative disruption and Egypt's firepower should prove decisive.

Grok 4.3

Egypt top Group G with Salah in form and strong recent results; Iran lack attacking threat and motivation is lower for both sides in a must-win for Egypt.

Mistral Large 3

Egypt has shown strong defensive organization and attacking threat through Salah and Trezeguet. Iran's recent form is shaky, and Egypt's motivation to secure a knockout spot will likely see them edge this match.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Egypt's attacking quality with Salah in superb form (contributed in every WC match) and Iran's offensive struggles (lowest xG and fewest shots on target in Group G) should see Egypt secure top spot. Iran's disrupted travel preparations and need to chase the game may leave them exposed, though their desperation could yield a consolation goal.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Egypt only needs a draw to advance, but their attacking quality on the counter, led by Mohamed Salah, should exploit an Iran side that will be forced to push forward for a necessary win.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Egypt has been in excellent form led by Mohamed Salah, and their momentum should carry them to a victory against a resilient but limited Iran side.

Gemma 4 31B

Egypt is in better form with 4 points and a recent win over New Zealand, while Iran has struggled to find a win. Despite injury doubts for Hamdy Fathy, Egypt's momentum and Salah's influence should secure a narrow win.

Kimi K2.6

Egypt only need a point but have been in strong attacking form with Mohamed Salah involved in every goal so far, while Iran have generated the fewest shots and lowest xG in the group and must take risks that should leave space for Egyptian counters.

GLM-5.1

Egypt only needs a draw to qualify and has superior quality with Salah in form, while Iran must chase a win despite severe logistical disruption (Taremi held at airport, team based in Mexico with travel restrictions) and will leave gaps that Egypt's counter-attacking threat can exploit.

Claude Opus 4.8

Egypt are already qualified but motivated to win the group for a favorable knockout path, and Salah (scored/assisted in all 4 WC apps) is chasing a national record; Iran rank bottom of the group in shots, xG and shots conceded, making them vulnerable.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeEgypt
2.44
DrawLevel at 90′
2.52
AwayIran
3.80